Garuda Lions
Today
Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 3

Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas

2 – 0 Full time

2′Fabian Viafara
20′Eduard Bello
59′Eduard Bello
61′Gustavo Cuéllar
63′Eduar Arley Arízalas TenorioMatías Ramírez
63′Anthony VásquezRicardo Marquez
64′John Ontaneda
65′Fabian ViafaraCarlos Bacca
65′Johan MartinezKeimer Sandoval
71′Edwin Velasco
77′Emanuel ReynosoDaniel Giraldo
79′Andres RicaurteJuan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
84′Edwin VelascoJuan Tello
84′Eduard BelloAlexis Castillo Manyoma
84′Tomás Blandón CorreaJhon Meléndez
90′Jhon Meléndez

Estadio Deportivo Cali, PalmiraReferee: Bismark Elias Santiago Pitalua, Colombia

Deportivo Cali 55%
Draw 26%
Águilas Doradas 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
4 Corners 4
11 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 5
3 Saves 7
244 Accurate passes 401

Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo CaliDrawÁguilas Doradas
Model67.6%21.3%11.1%
Market51.4%28.0%20.6%
Final55.4%26.4%18.2%
Edge+16.2%-6.7%-9.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Cali

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Deportivo Cali below the model: +16.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Cali ↓ / Águilas Dorada → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 12% 10% 2 13% 10% 3 9% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Deportivo Cali and Águilas Doradas expected goals

Deportivo Cali 2.06
Águilas Doradas 0.73

Total expected goals: 2.78

Deportivo Cali and Águilas Doradas attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Cali

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Águilas Doradas

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas: result vs prediction

Deportivo Cali 2 – 0 Águilas Doradas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 3 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Cali 55.4% 1.80 +16.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.7% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score No 54.0% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.8% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Deportivo Cali win 43.5% 2.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Cali55.4%
Draw26.4%
Águilas Doradas18.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.7%
Under 2.547.3%
Both teams to scoreYes46.0%
No54.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.8%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)44.6%
Handicap -1Deportivo Cali win43.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss32.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-013.1%
1-011.8%
1-110.1%

Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas stats

Deportivo Cali and Águilas Doradas recent form

newest first
Deportivo Cali WWWDDL
Águilas Doradas LDLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Cali and Águilas Doradas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Cali record

  • They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Águilas Doradas record

  • They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Deportivo Cali wins 5Draws 5Águilas Doradas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-29Águilas DoradasDeportivo CaliPrimera A2-1
2025-09-28Águilas DoradasDeportivo CaliPrimera A3-1
2025-04-12Deportivo CaliÁguilas DoradasPrimera A0-0
2024-10-14Águilas DoradasDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-1
2024-04-01Deportivo CaliÁguilas DoradasPrimera A2-4
2023-12-06Águilas DoradasDeportivo CaliPrimera A3-1
2023-11-13Deportivo CaliÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-1
2023-08-12Águilas DoradasDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-0
2023-02-21Deportivo CaliÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-1
2022-10-12Águilas DoradasDeportivo CaliPrimera A2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Cali vs Águilas Doradas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.4%, draw 28.0%, away 20.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.81 3.28 4.51
Bet365 1.80 3.30 4.75
BetVictor 1.80 3.30 4.40
Betano 1.85 3.30 4.35
Betfair 1.80 3.40 4.50
Marathonbet 1.79 3.28 4.50
Pinnacle 1.81 3.36 4.81
SBO 1.78 2.96 3.74
William Hill 1.83 3.20 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.07
X 3.30 ▼ -0.10
2 4.50 ▼ -0.17

16 snapshots recorded, from .