Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 3
Deportivo Pereira
vs
Santa Fe
1 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | Nahuel Bustos | ||
| 45′ | Marco Pérez | ||
| 48′ | Walmer Pacheco | ||
| 48′ | Jorge Bermúdez | ||
| 53′ | Kilian Toscano | ||
| 55′ | Jhojan Torres | ||
| 56′ | Jordy Monroy | ||
| 56′ | Luis Palacios | ||
| 56′ | Yimy Gómez | ||
| 60′ | Nahuel Bustos | ||
| 64′ | Luis Palacios | ||
| 66′ | Jhojan TorresEwil Murillo | ||
| 66′ | Franco FagúndezAlexis Zapata | ||
| 68′ | Alexis Zapata | ||
| 71′ | Sebastian AcostaAnderson Plata | ||
| 71′ | Luis Jeiner MorenoEderson Moreno | ||
| 76′ | Nahuel Bustos | ||
| 77′ | Walmer PachecoManuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez | ||
| 78′ | Sebastián Urrea Arbeláez | ||
| 79′ | Nahuel BustosHugo Rodallega | ||
| 82′ | Marco PérezRichard Rentería | ||
| 82′ | Jhon LargachaMiguel Ángel Aguirre | ||
| 87′ | Jader ObrianIván Scarpeta |
Deportivo Pereira
24%
Draw
30%
Santa Fe
46%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 404 | Accurate passes | 193 |
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe
| Probability | Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.8% | 34.2% | 40.1% |
| Market | 22.9% | 28.4% | 48.6% |
| Final | 23.6% | 29.9% | 46.5% |
| Edge | +2.8% | +5.7% | -8.6% |
Why Santa Fe
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
29%
No goals
16%
Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe expected goals
Deportivo Pereira
0.81
Santa Fe
1.08
Total expected goals: 1.89
Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Pereira
Attack
0.67 -33%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Santa Fe
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe: result vs prediction
Deportivo Pereira 1 – 2 Santa Fe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Fe | 46.5% | 2.15 | -8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 23.6% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Santa Fe | 46.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.0% |
| No | 62.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Santa Fe win | 16.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.4% |
| 0-1 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe stats
Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe recent form
| Deportivo Pereira |
DDLDLW |
| Santa Fe |
LWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Pereira and Santa Fe going into this match
Deportivo Pereira record
- They have won 2 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Santa Fe record
- They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Deportivo Pereira wins
5Draws
2Santa Fe wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | Santa Fe | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Deportivo Pereira | Santa Fe | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2025-01-26 | Santa Fe | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-04 | Santa Fe | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2024-02-18 | Deportivo Pereira | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-04 | Deportivo Pereira | Santa Fe | Copa Colombia | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-27 | Santa Fe | Deportivo Pereira | Copa Colombia | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-24 | Santa Fe | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-16 | Deportivo Pereira | Santa Fe | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2022-11-28 | Deportivo Pereira | Santa Fe | Primera A | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.9%, draw 28.4%, away 48.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.03 | 3.66 | 1.90 |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 3.25 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.30 | 1.91 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 3.25 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 3.22 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 4.23 | 3.29 | 1.96 |
| SBO | 3.50 | 2.98 | 1.82 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.10 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.03 ▲ +0.43
X
3.25 ▼ -0.05
2
1.90 ▼ -0.12
9 snapshots recorded, from .