Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 12
Once Caldas
vs
Bucaramanga
1 – 3 Full time
| 2′ | Emerson Batalla | ||
| 12′ | Edwin Castro | ||
| 34′ | Helieyker Guzman | ||
| 40′ | Luciano Pons | ||
| 45′ | Fredy Hinestroza | ||
| 45′ | Helieyker GuzmanFelipe Gomez | ||
| 45′ | Juan CastañoJuan Pablo Nieto | ||
| 45′ | Jaime AlvaradoDaniel Marmolejo | ||
| 59′ | Felix Charrupi | ||
| 61′ | Dayro Moreno | ||
| 71′ | Fredy HinestrozaAldair Gutiérrez | ||
| 71′ | Fabián SambuezaLeonardo Flores | ||
| 77′ | Edwin Castro | ||
| 77′ | Diego Novoa | ||
| 84′ | Emerson BatallaBrandon·Caicedo | ||
| 84′ | Luciano PonsFredy Salazar | ||
| 89′ | Javier Antonio Tetes Ferreyra | ||
| 90′ | Juan CuestaEfraín Navarro | ||
| 90′ | Felix CharrupiVictor Cantillo | ||
| 90′ | Fredy Salazar |
Once Caldas
45%
Draw
29%
Bucaramanga
27%
Match stats
| 29 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 11 |
| 490 | Accurate passes | 173 |
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga
| Probability | Once Caldas | Draw | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.1% | 29.7% | 35.1% |
| Market | 47.7% | 28.4% | 23.8% |
| Final | 44.6% | 28.8% | 26.6% |
| Edge | -12.6% | +1.3% | +11.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
45%
No goals
10%
Once Caldas and Bucaramanga expected goals
Once Caldas
1.24
Bucaramanga
1.24
Total expected goals: 2.48
Once Caldas and Bucaramanga attack and defence ratings
Once Caldas
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Bucaramanga
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga: result vs prediction
Once Caldas 1 – 3 Bucaramanga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 12 fixtures
- Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali
- America de Cali v Águilas Doradas — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios — team news & stats
- Chico vs Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogota — team news & stats
- Cucuta vs Llaneros
- Junior v Independiente Medellin — match page
- Jaguares vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Once Caldas | 44.6% | 2.24 | -12.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Once Caldas | 44.6% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Bucaramanga | 26.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Once Caldas win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 64.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.7% | |
| 0-1 | 9.1% |
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga stats
Once Caldas and Bucaramanga recent form
| Once Caldas |
LWLLWD |
| Bucaramanga |
WDWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Once Caldas and Bucaramanga going into this match
Once Caldas record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bucaramanga record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Once Caldas wins
5Draws
1Bucaramanga wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Bucaramanga | Once Caldas | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Bucaramanga | Once Caldas | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Once Caldas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Once Caldas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-10 | Bucaramanga | Once Caldas | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-25 | Once Caldas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Bucaramanga | Once Caldas | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-24 | Bucaramanga | Once Caldas | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2022-04-05 | Once Caldas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-05 | Once Caldas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Once Caldas vs Bucaramanga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.6%, draw 28.5%, away 23.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.24 | 3.87 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 3.24 | 3.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.34 | 4.02 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.93 ▼ -0.11
X
3.24 ▲ +0.04
2
3.87 ▲ +0.24
10 snapshots recorded, from .