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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 10

America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto

0 – 1 Full time

2′Joyce Esteban Ossa Rios
12′Jorge ObregónJoider Micolta
26′Dany Rosero
40′Tomás Ángel
45′Jean Paulo Fernandes Filho
45′Edson TortoleroJuan Montoya
45′Joyce Esteban Ossa RiosDiego Gabriel Chavez
62′Yeison GuzmánJan Lucumi
76′Luis QuiñonesJhon Murillo
77′Rafael CarrascalJosé Cavadia
77′Tomás ÁngelDaniel Valencia
78′Diego Gabriel Chavez
81′Nicolas Gil
85′Diego Gabriel Chavez
86′Matias PisanoEder Daniel Gómez De La Rosa
89′Enrique Serje
90′Jonathan PerlazaHarrinson Mancilla
90′Geovanni Banguera

Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de CaliReferee: Wilmar Hernando Montano Guevara

America de Cali 70%
Draw 19%
Deportivo Pasto 10%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 5
53 Possession % 47
3 Corners 3
12 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 1
4 Saves 2
412 Accurate passes 364

America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto overview

Garuda Lions analysis: America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAmerica de CaliDrawDeportivo Pasto
Model82.4%12.7%4.9%
Market66.0%21.7%12.3%
Final70.1%19.5%10.5%
Edge+16.5%-9.0%-7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why America de Cali

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 0.61.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices America de Cali below the model: +16.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

America de Cal ↓ / Deportivo Past → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 13% 3 12% 4+ 17% 10%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

America de Cali and Deportivo Pasto expected goals

America de Cali 2.83
Deportivo Pasto 0.61

Total expected goals: 3.44

America de Cali and Deportivo Pasto attack and defence ratings

America de Cali

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Deportivo Pasto

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto: result vs prediction

America de Cali 0 – 1 Deportivo Pasto

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 America de Cali 70.1% 1.43 +16.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.8% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score No 56.5% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.5% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 America de Cali win 63.5% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2America de Cali70.1%
Draw19.5%
Deportivo Pasto10.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.8%
Under 2.533.2%
Both teams to scoreYes43.5%
No56.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.5%
12 (either side)80.5%
X2 (draw or away)29.9%
Handicap -1America de Cali win63.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss17.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.8%
3-012.1%
4-08.6%

America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto stats

America de Cali and Deportivo Pasto recent form

newest first
America de Cali WDWDWW
Deportivo Pasto DLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

America de Cali and Deportivo Pasto going into this match

league record before kick-off

America de Cali record

  • They have won 16 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Pasto record

  • They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4America de Cali wins 3Draws 3Deportivo Pasto wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-10Deportivo PastoAmerica de CaliPrimera A2-0
2025-09-25Deportivo PastoAmerica de CaliPrimera A0-2
2025-02-08America de CaliDeportivo PastoPrimera A1-1
2024-11-07Deportivo PastoAmerica de CaliPrimera A3-1
2024-04-19America de CaliDeportivo PastoPrimera A0-0
2023-07-30America de CaliDeportivo PastoPrimera A1-1
2023-02-05Deportivo PastoAmerica de CaliPrimera A2-4
2022-11-23Deportivo PastoAmerica de CaliPrimera A1-0
2022-11-14America de CaliDeportivo PastoPrimera A2-1
2022-10-22America de CaliDeportivo PastoPrimera A4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

America de Cali vs Deportivo Pasto odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 65.9%, draw 21.9%, away 12.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.41 4.10 8.50
1xBet 1.41 4.25 7.70
888Sport 1.44 3.80 7.00
Bet365 1.42 4.50 7.00
BetVictor 1.40 4.20 7.50
Betano 1.47 4.70 7.80
Betfair 1.40 4.33 7.50
Dafabet 1.41 4.20 7.60
Marathonbet 1.40 4.25 7.70
Pinnacle 1.43 4.26 8.00
SBO 1.34 3.77 6.57
Unibet 1.38 4.50 8.00
William Hill 1.40 3.90 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▲ +0.04
X 4.25 ▼ -0.06
2 7.50 ▼ -1.90

14 snapshots recorded, from .