Garuda Lions
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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali

1 – 2 Full time

12′Nicolás Benedetti
15′Gustavo Cuéllar
39′Juan Dinenno
45′Jaime AlvaradoJader Quinones
50′Jefry Zapata
55′Andres Colorado
60′Jorge CardonaJuan Castaño
61′Michael Barrios
66′Johan MartinezEmanuel Reynoso
67′Felipe GomezEdwin Torres
70′Fabian Viafara
74′Nicolás BenedettiAvilés Hurtado
74′Steven RodríguezJuan Dinenno
81′Andrés RoaJuan Pablo Nieto
81′Michael BarriosJorman Beltran
83′Juan Dinenno
87′Fernando Antonio Alvarez AmadorJuan Tello

Estadio Palogrande, ManizalesReferee: Edwin Trujillo

Once Caldas 45%
Draw 30%
Deportivo Cali 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

28 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 6
62 Possession % 38
5 Corners 0
16 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 0
4 Saves 8
421 Accurate passes 233

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOnce CaldasDrawDeportivo Cali
Model42.4%31.0%26.5%
Market45.5%29.2%25.3%
Final44.8%29.6%25.6%
Edge-3.1%+1.9%+1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Once Caldas

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.96.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Once Caldas ↓ / Deportivo Cali → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Once Caldas and Deportivo Cali expected goals

Once Caldas 1.27
Deportivo Cali 0.96

Total expected goals: 2.23

Once Caldas and Deportivo Cali attack and defence ratings

Once Caldas

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Deportivo Cali

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali: result vs prediction

Once Caldas 1 – 2 Deportivo Cali

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Once Caldas 44.8% 2.23 -3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 54.4% 1.84 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.6% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Once Caldas44.8%
Draw29.6%
Deportivo Cali25.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.5%
Under 2.561.5%
Both teams to scoreYes45.6%
No54.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.4%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)55.2%
Handicap -1Once Caldas win19.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss57.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-012.4%
0-012.1%

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali stats

Once Caldas and Deportivo Cali recent form

newest first
Once Caldas LWDDLD
Deportivo Cali DDLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Once Caldas and Deportivo Cali going into this match

league record before kick-off

Once Caldas record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Cali record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Once Caldas wins 4Draws 1Deportivo Cali wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07Deportivo CaliOnce CaldasPrimera A0-2
2026-01-11Deportivo CaliOnce CaldasFriendlies Clubs0-0
2025-11-14Deportivo CaliOnce CaldasPrimera A1-1
2025-05-25Once CaldasDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-0
2024-09-14Once CaldasDeportivo CaliPrimera A4-1
2024-03-02Deportivo CaliOnce CaldasPrimera A0-1
2023-07-30Once CaldasDeportivo CaliPrimera A4-0
2023-02-05Deportivo CaliOnce CaldasPrimera A0-0
2022-10-17Deportivo CaliOnce CaldasPrimera A1-1
2022-05-01Once CaldasDeportivo CaliPrimera A0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 29.1%, away 25.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.08 3.20 3.65
1xBet 2.05 3.18 3.69
888Sport 2.05 3.00 3.60
Bet365 2.05 3.40 3.70
BetVictor 2.00 3.20 3.70
Betano 2.07 3.20 3.65
Betfair 2.05 3.25 3.60
Marathonbet 2.03 3.18 3.68
Pinnacle 2.07 3.30 3.81
SBO 1.98 2.86 3.17
Unibet 2.12 3.35 3.45
William Hill 2.00 3.00 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▼ -0.03
X 3.20 —
2 3.69 ▲ +0.12

12 snapshots recorded, from .