Llaneros
vs
Millonarios
0 – 2 Full time
Llaneros vs Millonarios overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Llaneros vs Millonarios
| Probability | Llaneros | Draw | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.2% | 34.3% | 25.4% |
| Market | 28.2% | 30.0% | 41.8% |
| Final | 31.2% | 31.1% | 37.7% |
| Edge | +12.0% | +4.3% | -16.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Llaneros and Millonarios expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.87
Llaneros and Millonarios attack and defence ratings
Llaneros
Millonarios
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Llaneros vs Millonarios: result vs prediction
Llaneros 0 – 2 Millonarios
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Cucuta v Alianza Valledupar — match page
- Chico vs Fortaleza FC
- America de Cali v Junior — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Internacional de Bogota v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin
- Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas
Before and after this match
Llaneros vs Millonarios markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millonarios | 37.7% | 2.65 | -16.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llaneros | 31.2% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Millonarios | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.4% |
| No | 62.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Millonarios win | 8.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.0% | |
| Loss | 74.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.7% |
| 1-0 | 15.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Llaneros vs Millonarios stats
Llaneros and Millonarios recent form
| Llaneros |
WDWDWL |
| Millonarios |
DWWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Llaneros and Millonarios going into this match
Llaneros record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Millonarios record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Llaneros vs Millonarios head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Millonarios | Llaneros | Copa Colombia | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Millonarios | Llaneros | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-29 | Millonarios | Llaneros | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-12 | Llaneros | Millonarios | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2019-04-12 | Millonarios | Llaneros | Copa Colombia | 1-1 |
| 2019-03-20 | Llaneros | Millonarios | Copa Colombia | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Llaneros vs Millonarios odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.2%, draw 30.0%, away 41.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.12 |
| 1xBet | 3.40 | 2.98 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.15 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.15 | 2.24 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 2.99 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | 3.48 | 3.07 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 3.08 | 2.93 | 2.06 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| Unibet | 3.65 | 3.15 | 2.12 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .