Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 7
America de Cali
vs
Junior
4 – 2 Full time
America de Cali
53%
Draw
27%
Junior
20%
America de Cali vs Junior overview
Garuda Lions analysis: America de Cali vs Junior
| Probability | America de Cali | Draw | Junior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.1% | 23.4% | 9.5% |
| Market | 48.8% | 28.1% | 23.2% |
| Final | 53.3% | 26.9% | 19.8% |
| Edge | +18.3% | -4.6% | -13.6% |
Why America de Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices America de Cali below the model: +18.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
America de Cali and Junior expected goals
America de Cali
1.80
Junior
0.54
Total expected goals: 2.34
America de Cali and Junior attack and defence ratings
America de Cali
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
0.59 -41%
Junior
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
America de Cali vs Junior: result vs prediction
America de Cali 4 – 2 Junior
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Cucuta v Alianza Valledupar — match page
- Chico vs Fortaleza FC
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Llaneros vs Millonarios
- Internacional de Bogota v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin
- Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas
Before and after this match
America de Cali vs Junior markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 53.3% | 1.87 | +18.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 53.3% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Junior | 19.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.7% |
| No | 64.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win | 40.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.3% | |
| Loss | 32.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.4% |
| 2-0 | 15.6% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
America de Cali vs Junior stats
America de Cali and Junior recent form
| America de Cali |
DWWWWD |
| Junior |
DLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
America de Cali and Junior going into this match
America de Cali record
- They have won 15 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Junior record
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
America de Cali vs Junior head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4America de Cali wins
3Draws
3Junior wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Junior | America de Cali | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-05 | Junior | America de Cali | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-24 | America de Cali | Junior | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | America de Cali | Junior | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-16 | America de Cali | Junior | Copa Colombia | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Junior | America de Cali | Copa Colombia | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-16 | Junior | America de Cali | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-05 | America de Cali | Junior | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Junior | America de Cali | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-07 | Junior | America de Cali | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
America de Cali vs Junior odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 28.1%, away 23.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.35 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 3.28 | 4.15 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.35 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.28 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.30 | 4.70 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.06 | 3.34 |
| Superbet | 1.92 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Unibet | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.90 ▲ +0.04
X
3.30 ▼ -0.15
2
4.00 ▼ -0.20
11 snapshots recorded, from .