Junior
vs
Once Caldas
1 – 1 Full time
Junior vs Once Caldas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Junior vs Once Caldas
| Probability | Junior | Draw | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.3% | 28.0% | 32.7% |
| Market | 47.5% | 27.6% | 24.9% |
| Final | 45.5% | 27.7% | 26.8% |
| Edge | -8.2% | +0.4% | +7.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Junior and Once Caldas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
Junior and Once Caldas attack and defence ratings
Junior
Once Caldas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Junior vs Once Caldas: result vs prediction
Junior 1 – 1 Once Caldas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Junior vs Once Caldas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 45.5% | 2.20 | -8.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 45.5% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Once Caldas | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Junior win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.2% |
Junior vs Once Caldas stats
Junior and Once Caldas recent form
| Junior |
LLLWLD |
| Once Caldas |
DLDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Junior and Once Caldas going into this match
Junior record
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Once Caldas record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Junior vs Once Caldas head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Junior | Once Caldas | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Once Caldas | Junior | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-12 | Once Caldas | Junior | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-26 | Once Caldas | Junior | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-13 | Junior | Once Caldas | Primera A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Junior vs Once Caldas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.6%, draw 27.5%, away 24.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.94 | 3.45 | 3.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.40 | 3.78 |
| 888Sport | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.30 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.00 | 3.35 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.40 | 3.78 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.49 | 3.91 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 3.04 | 3.06 |
| Superbet | 2.02 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
| Unibet | 1.93 | 3.50 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .