Bucaramanga
vs
Águilas Doradas
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bucaramanga
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas
| Probability | Bucaramanga | Draw | Águilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.2% | 18.2% | 10.6% |
| Market | 51.0% | 27.5% | 21.5% |
| Final | 56.1% | 25.2% | 18.7% |
| Edge | +20.1% | -9.3% | -10.9% |
Why Bucaramanga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.43 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bucaramanga below the model: +20.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.97, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas match preview
Bucaramanga enters this match with a strong recent form, recording three wins and two draws in their last five matches. Their expected goals stand at 2.43, indicating a potent attacking threat, while Águilas Doradas has struggled, with an expected goals figure of just 0.86. The probability model suggests Bucaramanga has a 56% chance of winning, with the most likely scoreline being 2-0.
In terms of head-to-head performance, the last ten encounters have been evenly matched, with both teams securing four wins each and two draws. The model indicates a 64% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams will score. This matchup presents an intriguing contest, with Bucaramanga looking to capitalize on their home advantage.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas attack and defence ratings
Bucaramanga
Águilas Doradas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Chico vs Fortaleza FC
- America de Cali v Junior — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Llaneros vs Millonarios
- Internacional de Bogota v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin
- Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Santa Fe vs Jaguares — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bucaramanga | 56.1% | 1.78 | +20.1% | 1.97 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bucaramanga win | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bucaramanga | 56.1% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Águilas Doradas | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bucaramanga win | 49.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 28.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 3-0 | 8.9% |
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas stats
Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas recent form
| Bucaramanga |
WWWDWD |
| Águilas Doradas |
WLLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas season so far
Bucaramanga record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Águilas Doradas record
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Águilas Doradas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Bucaramanga | Águilas Doradas | Primera A | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-08 | Águilas Doradas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-21 | Águilas Doradas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 1-3 |
| 2024-03-27 | Bucaramanga | Águilas Doradas | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-21 | Bucaramanga | Águilas Doradas | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Águilas Doradas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-06 | Bucaramanga | Águilas Doradas | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2022-01-20 | Águilas Doradas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-20 | Águilas Doradas | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 28.5%, away 22.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.97 | 3.30 | 3.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.36 | 4.31 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.36 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.42 | 4.83 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .