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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas

1 – 1 Full time

35′Edwin Castro
45′Aldair Gutiérrez
59′Matías RamírezJunior Noguera
64′Fabián Sambueza
69′Fabián SambuezaFredy Salazar
71′Matías Ramírez
74′Andres Mosquera
74′Juan Esteban·Avalo TrejosRicardo Marquez
86′Frank LozanoTomás Blandón
86′Andres RicaurteEduar Arízalas
86′Emerson BatallaLeonardo Flores
86′Luciano PonsBrandon·Caicedo
90′Aldair GutiérrezMartín Rea
90′Edwin Castro
90′Jorge Soto
90′Cristopher Fiermarin
90′Jorge Soto
90′Diego Novoa

Estadio Américo Montanini, BucaramangaReferee: Jonnathan Ortiz

Bucaramanga 52%
Draw 26%
Águilas Doradas 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
36 Possession % 64
3 Corners 6
15 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
220 Accurate passes 448

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBucaramangaDrawÁguilas Doradas
Model70.1%18.3%11.6%
Market46.3%28.9%24.8%
Final52.3%26.3%21.5%
Edge+6.0%-2.7%-3.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Bucaramanga

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 0.94.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Bucaramanga below our published probability: +6.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bucaramanga ↓ / Águilas Dorada → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 8% 2 10% 9% 3 8% 8% 4+ 9% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas expected goals

Bucaramanga 2.46
Águilas Doradas 0.94

Total expected goals: 3.40

Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas attack and defence ratings

Bucaramanga

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Águilas Doradas

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas: result vs prediction

Bucaramanga 1 – 1 Águilas Doradas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bucaramanga 52.3% 1.91 +6.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.0% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.3% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.5% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Bucaramanga win 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bucaramanga52.3%
Draw26.3%
Águilas Doradas21.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.0%
Under 2.534.0%
Both teams to scoreYes56.3%
No43.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.5%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)47.7%
Handicap -1Bucaramanga win48.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss29.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.1%
2-19.5%
1-18.5%

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas stats

Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas recent form

newest first
Bucaramanga WWWDWD
Águilas Doradas DWLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bucaramanga and Águilas Doradas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bucaramanga record

  • They have won 11 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Águilas Doradas record

  • They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Bucaramanga wins 2Draws 4Águilas Doradas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-07Águilas DoradasBucaramangaPrimera A2-1
2025-08-25BucaramangaÁguilas DoradasPrimera A4-0
2025-03-08Águilas DoradasBucaramangaPrimera A0-1
2024-10-21Águilas DoradasBucaramangaPrimera A1-3
2024-03-27BucaramangaÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-0
2023-08-21BucaramangaÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-1
2023-02-25Águilas DoradasBucaramangaPrimera A1-0
2022-10-06BucaramangaÁguilas DoradasPrimera A0-1
2022-01-20Águilas DoradasBucaramangaPrimera A1-1
2021-09-20Águilas DoradasBucaramangaPrimera A3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.4%, draw 29.0%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.97 3.30 3.85
1xBet 2.00 3.16 3.80
Bet365 2.00 3.20 4.00
BetVictor 2.00 3.25 3.60
Betano 2.00 3.20 3.90
Betfair 1.95 3.40 3.70
Dafabet 2.04 3.25 3.65
Marathonbet 1.98 3.16 3.78
Pinnacle 2.05 3.24 3.96
SBO 1.90 2.99 3.48
William Hill 2.05 3.10 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.09
X 3.20 —
2 3.74 ▼ -0.42

21 snapshots recorded, from .