Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 5
America de Cali
vs
Fortaleza FC
2 – 1 Full time
| 33′ | J. Garcia | ||
| 46′ | E. TortoleroJ. Murillo | ||
| 46′ | J. CavadiaJ. Escobar | ||
| 52′ | J. Garcia | ||
| 55′ | Y. Guzman | ||
| 58′ | J. GarciaS. Navarro | ||
| 59′ | M. TorresD. Rosero | ||
| 63′ | J. Palacios | ||
| 70′ | T. AngelD. Valencia | ||
| 76′ | F. PulicastroT. Wilke | ||
| 76′ | S. VivasA. Larrans | ||
| 76′ | J. PalaciosM. Castillo | ||
| 85′ | M. VazquezJ. Herrera | ||
| 85′ | S. CueroE. Cabezas |
America de Cali
67%
Draw
21%
Fortaleza FC
12%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 7 | Saves | 5 |
| 481 | Accurate passes | 368 |
America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC
| Probability | America de Cali | Draw | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.5% | 18.9% | 9.6% |
| Market | 66.0% | 21.7% | 12.3% |
| Final | 67.3% | 21.0% | 11.6% |
| Edge | +1.4% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
Why America de Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
America de Cali and Fortaleza FC expected goals
America de Cali
2.28
Fortaleza FC
0.73
Total expected goals: 3.02
America de Cali and Fortaleza FC attack and defence ratings
America de Cali
Attack
1.36 +36%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Fortaleza FC
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC: result vs prediction
America de Cali 2 – 1 Fortaleza FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 67.3% | 1.48 | +1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 67.3% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Fortaleza FC | 11.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.5% |
| No | 52.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win | 48.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 28.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 3-0 | 9.7% |
America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC stats
America de Cali and Fortaleza FC recent form
| America de Cali |
WDLWWD |
| Fortaleza FC |
DLDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
America de Cali and Fortaleza FC going into this match
America de Cali record
- They have won 19 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortaleza FC record
- They have won 6 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
2America de Cali wins
2Draws
1Fortaleza FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-23 | Fortaleza FC | America de Cali | Primera A | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Fortaleza FC | America de Cali | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-31 | America de Cali | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-29 | America de Cali | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-18 | Fortaleza FC | America de Cali | Primera A | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.0%, draw 21.7%, away 12.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.42 | 4.25 | 7.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.20 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.65 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 4.50 | 7.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 4.25 | 7.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 4.55 | 8.64 |
| SBO | 1.37 | 3.84 | 6.28 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.00 | 7.50 |