Millonarios
vs
America de Cali
Garuda Lions Prediction: Millonarios
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.17.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Millonarios vs America de Cali overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Millonarios vs America de Cali
| Probability | Millonarios | Draw | America de Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 27.6% | 27.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.9% | 27.6% | 27.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Millonarios
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.17.
Millonarios vs America de Cali match preview
Millonarios will face America de Cali in a tightly contested matchup, with our model assigning a 45% probability of a Millonarios victory, while both a draw and an America de Cali win are estimated at 28%. The expected goals suggest Millonarios will score approximately 1.55, compared to America de Cali's 1.17. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Millonarios, with a 9% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Millonarios has recorded four draws and one win in their last six matches, while America de Cali has secured four wins, one draw, and one loss during the same period. The head-to-head record in the last three encounters shows an even split, with each team claiming one victory and one match ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this forecast stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Millonarios and America de Cali expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Millonarios and America de Cali attack and defence ratings
Millonarios
America de Cali
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 17 fixtures
- Llaneros v Junior — match page
- Independiente Medellin v Alianza Valledupar — match page
- Deportivo Cali vs Chico — team news & stats
- Águilas Doradas v Fortaleza FC — match page
- Cucuta vs Santa Fe
- Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional
- Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Millonarios vs America de Cali markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millonarios | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millonarios | 44.9% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| America de Cali | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Millonarios win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Millonarios vs America de Cali stats
Millonarios and America de Cali recent form
| Millonarios |
DWDDDW |
| America de Cali |
WWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Millonarios and America de Cali season so far
Millonarios record
- They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
America de Cali record
- They have won 19 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Millonarios vs America de Cali head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | America de Cali | Millonarios | Primera A | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Millonarios | America de Cali | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-17 | America de Cali | Millonarios | Primera A | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.