America de Cali
vs
Deportivo Cali
Garuda Lions Prediction: America de Cali
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — America de Cali is the favourite, not a value bet.
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali overview
Garuda Lions analysis: America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali
| Probability | America de Cali | Draw | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.2% | 35.4% | 34.4% |
| Market | 49.5% | 28.1% | 22.4% |
| Final | 44.7% | 29.9% | 25.4% |
| Edge | -4.8% | +1.8% | +3.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.8% per unit staked (our 44.7% × 1.93 − 1).
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali match preview
America de Cali faces Deportivo Cali in a tightly contested match, with our model assigning probabilities of 38% for America de Cali to win, 33% for a draw, and 29% for a Deportivo Cali victory. The expected goals for America de Cali stand at 1.13, while Deportivo Cali is projected at 0.96. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of America de Cali, occurring at a rate of 13%.
In terms of recent form, America de Cali has recorded two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Deportivo Cali has achieved two wins and three draws. The head-to-head record over the last five encounters shows America de Cali with two wins, Deportivo Cali with one, and two matches ending in draws. The model indicates a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
America de Cali and Deportivo Cali expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
America de Cali and Deportivo Cali attack and defence ratings
America de Cali
Deportivo Cali
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 18 fixtures
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- Fortaleza FC v Independiente Medellin — match page
- Once Caldas vs Águilas Doradas — team news & stats
- Atletico Nacional v Deportivo Pereira — match page
- Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto — team news & stats
- Jaguares vs Bucaramanga — team news & stats
- Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios
- Alianza Valledupar v Llaneros — match page
Before and after this match
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 44.7% | 2.24 | -4.8% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 44.7% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Deportivo Cali | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.8% |
| No | 63.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win | 10.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 69.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.7% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 14.1% |
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali stats
America de Cali and Deportivo Cali recent form
| America de Cali |
DWWDLW |
| Deportivo Cali |
WDWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
America de Cali and Deportivo Cali season so far
America de Cali record
- They have won 20 of their 37 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 37 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 37 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cali record
- They have won 15 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Deportivo Cali | America de Cali | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Deportivo Cali | America de Cali | Primera A | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-07 | America de Cali | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | America de Cali | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-24 | Deportivo Cali | America de Cali | Primera A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.5%, draw 28.1%, away 22.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.32 | 4.21 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.25 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.32 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.36 | 4.23 |
| SBO | 1.87 | 2.93 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .