Deportivo Pereira
vs
America de Cali
Garuda Lions Prediction: America de Cali
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.89.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali
| Probability | Deportivo Pereira | Draw | America de Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.1% | 31.6% | 43.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.1% | 31.6% | 43.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why America de Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali match preview
Deportivo Pereira faces America de Cali in a Primera A matchup with kickoff scheduled for November 12, 2026. According to our model, America de Cali holds a 43% probability of winning, while Deportivo Pereira has a 25% chance, and a draw is estimated at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1 in favor of America de Cali, with an expected goals tally of 0.89 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.25 for America de Cali.
Recent form shows Deportivo Pereira with a mixed record of L-W-D-W-D-D, while America de Cali has been more consistent with D-W-W-D-L-W. In their last three encounters, Deportivo Pereira has secured one win, while America de Cali has won two. The model indicates a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% likelihood of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Pereira
America de Cali
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 19 fixtures
- Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pasto vs Junior
- Deportivo Cali v Deportes Tolima — match page
- Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats
- Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe
- Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas — match page
- Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats
- Llaneros v Chico — match page
Before and after this match
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.7% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 25.1% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| America de Cali | 43.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.3% |
| No | 56.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win | 20.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali stats
Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali recent form
| Deportivo Pereira |
LWDWDD |
| America de Cali |
DWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Pereira and America de Cali season so far
Deportivo Pereira record
- They have won 4 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 36 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
America de Cali record
- They have won 20 of their 37 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 37 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 37 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | America de Cali | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Deportivo Pereira | America de Cali | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | America de Cali | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.