Deportivo Cali
vs
Deportes Tolima
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Cali
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.48.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima
| Probability | Deportivo Cali | Draw | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.6% | 23.0% | 8.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 68.6% | 23.0% | 8.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.48.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima match preview
Deportivo Cali enters the match against Deportes Tolima with a strong probability of winning at 69%, while Deportes Tolima stands at just 8%. The expected goals for Deportivo Cali are significantly higher at 1.80 compared to Deportes Tolima's 0.48, indicating a potential dominance in offensive play. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0, with an 18% chance of occurring.
Recent form shows Deportivo Cali with a mix of results, including three wins and two draws in their last six matches. In contrast, Deportes Tolima has struggled, recording one win, three losses, and two draws in the same period. The head-to-head record over the last three encounters favors Deportes Tolima, who has one win and two draws against Deportivo Cali.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Cali
Deportes Tolima
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 19 fixtures
- Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pasto vs Junior
- Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats
- Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe
- Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas — match page
- Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali
- Llaneros v Chico — match page
Before and after this match
Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cali | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cali win | 41.9% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cali | 68.6% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Deportes Tolima | 8.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.8% |
| No | 67.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 31.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cali win | 41.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 31.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.5% |
| 2-0 | 16.5% | |
| 0-0 | 11.1% |
Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima stats
Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima recent form
| Deportivo Cali |
WDWDDW |
| Deportes Tolima |
WLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima season so far
Deportivo Cali record
- They have won 15 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportes Tolima record
- They have won 15 of their 39 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 39 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 39 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 9 penalties (78%).
Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Deportivo Cali | Deportes Tolima | Primera A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.