Deportivo Pasto
vs
Junior
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Pasto
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo Pasto vs Junior overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pasto vs Junior
| Probability | Deportivo Pasto | Draw | Junior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 30.9% | 30.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.2% | 30.9% | 30.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Pasto
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Deportivo Pasto vs Junior match preview
Deportivo Pasto faces Junior in an upcoming Primera A match, with probabilities indicating a 38% chance for a Deportivo Pasto win, while both a draw and a Junior victory sit at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Deportivo Pasto, with a 11% likelihood. Expected goals for Deportivo Pasto are 1.23, compared to Junior's 1.08, suggesting a closely contested match.
Recent form shows Deportivo Pasto with a mixed record of W-L-W-L-L-D, while Junior has struggled, recording L-D-W-D-D-D in their last six matches. In their last three encounters, Deportivo Pasto has not secured a win, with Junior achieving two victories and one draw. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Pasto and Junior expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Deportivo Pasto and Junior attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Pasto
Junior
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas — match page
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- Llaneros v Chico — match page
Before and after this match
Deportivo Pasto vs Junior markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pasto | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pasto | 38.2% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Junior | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Pasto win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 61.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Deportivo Pasto vs Junior stats
Deportivo Pasto and Junior recent form
| Deportivo Pasto |
WLWLLD |
| Junior |
LDWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Pasto and Junior season so far
Deportivo Pasto record
- They have won 13 of their 37 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 37 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 37 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Junior record
- They have won 17 of their 41 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 41 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 41 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 11 of 14 penalties (79%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Pasto vs Junior head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Junior | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 4-3 |
| 2025-09-29 | Junior | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Deportivo Pasto | Junior | Primera A | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.