Internacional de Bogota
vs
Santa Fe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Internacional de Bogota
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.97.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe
| Probability | Internacional de Bogota | Draw | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.3% | 28.9% | 23.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.3% | 28.9% | 23.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Internacional de Bogota
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.97.
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe match preview
Internacional de Bogota faces Santa Fe in a Primera A clash with both teams showing contrasting recent forms. Internacional de Bogota has recorded one win, one loss, and three draws in their last five matches, while Santa Fe has achieved three wins and two losses in the same period. According to our model, Internacional de Bogota has a 47% probability of winning, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0, which has a 12% likelihood.
The expected goals for this match indicate that Internacional de Bogota is projected to score 1.46 goals, while Santa Fe is expected to net 0.97. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 44%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 49%. In their last three encounters, Internacional de Bogota has one win, whereas Santa Fe has two victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Internacional de Bogota and Santa Fe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.43
Internacional de Bogota and Santa Fe attack and defence ratings
Internacional de Bogota
Santa Fe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 19 fixtures
- Millonarios vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pasto vs Junior
- Deportivo Cali v Deportes Tolima — match page
- Bucaramanga vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats
- Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas — match page
- Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali
- Llaneros v Chico — match page
Before and after this match
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional de Bogota | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional de Bogota | 47.3% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Santa Fe | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.0% |
| No | 51.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Internacional de Bogota win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 10.0% |
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe stats
Internacional de Bogota and Santa Fe recent form
| Internacional de Bogota |
WLWDDD |
| Santa Fe |
LLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Internacional de Bogota and Santa Fe season so far
Internacional de Bogota record
- They have won 11 of their 38 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 38 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 38 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Santa Fe record
- They have won 16 of their 39 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 39 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 39 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Internacional de Bogota vs Santa Fe head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Santa Fe | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Santa Fe | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-11 | Internacional de Bogota | Santa Fe | Primera A | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.