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Primera A · ·Clausura - 18

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota

Garuda Lions Prediction: Internacional de Bogota

0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Internacional de Bogota is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Internacional de Bogota

Estadio La Independencia, Tunja

Chico 32%
Draw 29%
Internacional de Bogota 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Internacional de Bogota wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
49%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
11% of simulated outcomes

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chico vs Internacional de Bogota

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChicoDrawInternacional de Bogota
Model31.9%30.7%37.4%
Market32.7%28.9%38.5%
Final32.5%29.3%38.2%
Edge-0.2%+0.5%-0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Internacional de Bogota

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.46, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.0% per unit staked (our 38.2% × 2.46 − 1).

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota match preview

Chico faces Internacional de Bogota in a Primera A clash with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Chico's last six matches include one win and five losses, while Internacional de Bogota has secured three wins, two draws, and one loss in their recent outings. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are closely contested, with Chico at 35%, a draw at 29%, and Internacional de Bogota at 36%.

The expected goals for this match suggest a slight edge for Internacional de Bogota, with 1.22 compared to Chico's 1.11. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% likelihood of both teams scoring. The head-to-head record shows a balanced competition, with Internacional de Bogota having four wins in the last ten encounters.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chico ↓ / Internacional → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 11% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Chico and Internacional de Bogota expected goals

Chico 1.11
Internacional de Bogota 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.34

Chico and Internacional de Bogota attack and defence ratings

Chico

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Internacional de Bogota

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Clausura - 18 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Internacional de Bogota 38.2% 2.62 -0.3% 2.46
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.7% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.6% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chico32.5%
Draw29.3%
Internacional de Bogota38.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
Both teams to scoreYes48.7%
No51.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.8%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)67.5%
Handicap -1Internacional de Bogota win16.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss62.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-011.0%
0-110.5%
Compare prices for this pick

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota stats

Chico and Internacional de Bogota recent form

newest first
Chico LDWLLL
Internacional de Bogota WLWDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chico and Internacional de Bogota season so far

league record

Chico record

  • They have won 9 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 36 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 20 of 36 matches.

Internacional de Bogota record

  • They have won 11 of their 38 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 38 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 38 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Chico wins 3Draws 4Internacional de Bogota wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-27Internacional de BogotaChicoPrimera A4-0
2025-08-12ChicoInternacional de BogotaPrimera A0-0
2025-02-22Internacional de BogotaChicoPrimera A0-1
2024-10-29ChicoInternacional de BogotaPrimera A1-0
2024-04-08Internacional de BogotaChicoPrimera A4-0
2023-09-09Internacional de BogotaChicoPrimera A0-0
2023-07-31ChicoInternacional de BogotaPrimera A0-2
2023-03-29ChicoInternacional de BogotaPrimera A3-1
2023-03-23Internacional de BogotaChicoPrimera A2-2
2021-02-27Internacional de BogotaChicoPrimera A2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chico vs Internacional de Bogota odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 28.9%, away 38.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.79 3.22 2.40
Bet365 3.10 3.20 2.38
BetVictor 2.75 3.20 2.45
Betano 3.00 3.15 2.37
Betfair 2.88 3.20 2.40
Dafabet 2.85 3.20 2.46
Marathonbet 2.79 3.22 2.40
Pinnacle 3.09 3.19 2.46
SBO 2.57 2.96 2.35
William Hill 2.80 3.00 2.45
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.83 ▲ +0.45
X 3.20 ▼ -0.08
2 2.40 ▼ -0.54

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Internacional de Bogota Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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