Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 5

Chico vs Junior

1 – 1 Full time

24′J. Alomia
57′J. Rios
62′J. Alomia
63′C. BarriosB. Castrillon
63′D. CaicedoJ. Canchimbo
63′Y. CharaK. Perez
65′S. ViverosS. Salazar
71′J. PimentelD. A. Ramirez Raigosa
75′G. PaivaL. Muriel
75′G. CelisJ. Rivas
82′S. Salazar
84′J. Rivas
85′A. MayaJ. C. Palacios
85′S. NavarroC. Mosquera
85′E. SarriaI. Camargo
89′S. Viera
90′B. Castrillon

Estadio La Independencia, TunjaReferee: Diego Ulloa Angulo, Colombia

Chico 35%
Draw 30%
Junior 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 3
46 Possession % 54
10 Corners 4
11 Fouls 10
2 Saves 2
204 Accurate passes 261

Chico vs Junior overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chico vs Junior

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChicoDrawJunior
Model33.1%30.3%36.6%
Market35.9%29.4%34.7%
Final35.2%29.6%35.2%
Edge-0.7%+0.2%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Chico

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chico ↓ / Junior → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Chico and Junior expected goals

Chico 1.16
Junior 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.39

Chico and Junior attack and defence ratings

Chico

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Junior

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chico vs Junior: result vs prediction

Chico 1 – 1 Junior

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 5 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Chico vs Junior markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chico 35.2% 2.84 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.3% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.4% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.0% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chico35.2%
Draw29.6%
Junior35.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.7%
Under 2.557.3%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.8%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)64.8%
Handicap -1Chico win14.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss67.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.5%
0-110.0%

Chico vs Junior stats

Chico and Junior recent form

newest first
Chico WLLLDW
Junior WDDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chico and Junior going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chico record

  • They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 19 of 34 matches.

Junior record

  • They have won 17 of their 40 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 40 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 40 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 11 of 14 penalties (79%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chico vs Junior head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Chico wins 2Draws 5Junior wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-08JuniorChicoPrimera A3-0
2025-08-02JuniorChicoPrimera A2-0
2025-02-19ChicoJuniorPrimera A0-2
2024-07-22JuniorChicoPrimera A2-1
2024-01-28ChicoJuniorPrimera A2-2
2023-09-20ChicoJuniorPrimera A2-1
2023-04-14JuniorChicoPrimera A1-1
2021-02-21ChicoJuniorPrimera A2-1
2020-11-15JuniorChicoPrimera A3-0
2018-08-18ChicoJuniorPrimera A2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chico vs Junior odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 29.4%, away 34.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.58 3.20 2.59
Bet365 2.60 3.10 2.75
BetVictor 2.55 3.13 2.70
Betano 2.62 3.15 2.67
Dafabet 2.60 3.20 2.70
Marathonbet 2.58 3.20 2.59
Pinnacle 2.57 3.38 2.72
SBO 2.42 2.93 2.52
William Hill 2.50 3.10 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.58 ▼ -0.66
X 3.15 ▼ -0.11
2 2.67 ▲ +0.52

5 snapshots recorded, from .