Internacional de Bogota
vs
Fortaleza FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Internacional de Bogota
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC
| Probability | Internacional de Bogota | Draw | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.2% | 26.7% | 26.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.2% | 26.7% | 26.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Internacional de Bogota
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC match preview
Internacional de Bogota faces Fortaleza FC in a Primera A clash on October 20, 2026. According to our model, Internacional de Bogota has a 47% probability of winning, while Fortaleza FC stands at 26%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Internacional de Bogota, with an expected goals tally of 1.64 for them and 1.17 for Fortaleza FC.
Both teams have struggled recently, with Internacional de Bogota recording three draws and two losses in their last five matches, while Fortaleza FC has also drawn three times and lost twice. In their last five encounters, Internacional de Bogota has not secured a win against Fortaleza FC, with three losses and two draws. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 53%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 57%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Internacional de Bogota and Fortaleza FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Internacional de Bogota and Fortaleza FC attack and defence ratings
Internacional de Bogota
Fortaleza FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 15 fixtures
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- Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima
- Bucaramanga v America de Cali — match page
- Llaneros vs Santa Fe
- Deportivo Cali v Junior — match page
- Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Valledupar
- Deportivo Pereira vs Chico — team news & stats
- Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional de Bogota | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional de Bogota | 47.2% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Fortaleza FC | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Internacional de Bogota win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.7% |
Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC stats
Internacional de Bogota and Fortaleza FC recent form
| Internacional de Bogota |
DDDLLW |
| Fortaleza FC |
DDDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Internacional de Bogota and Fortaleza FC season so far
Internacional de Bogota record
- They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Fortaleza FC record
- They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Fortaleza FC | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Internacional de Bogota | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-08 | Fortaleza FC | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Fortaleza FC | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Internacional de Bogota | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.