Junior
vs
Internacional de Bogota
Garuda Lions Prediction: Junior
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Junior vs Internacional de Bogota overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Junior vs Internacional de Bogota
| Probability | Junior | Draw | Internacional de Bogota |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.6% | 23.3% | 22.1% |
| Market | 56.9% | 24.3% | 18.8% |
| Final | 56.3% | 24.1% | 19.6% |
| Edge | -2.3% | -1.0% | +3.3% |
Why Junior
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Junior vs Internacional de Bogota match preview
Junior is favored in their upcoming match against Internacional de Bogota, with a 62% probability of winning compared to 17% for Internacional de Bogota. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from Junior, projected at 2.27, while Internacional de Bogota is expected to score 1.15. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with a 10% probability, and there is a 66% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Junior has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Conversely, Internacional de Bogota has struggled, with only one win in their last five, alongside three draws and one loss. Historically, Junior has dominated their recent encounters, winning two of the last three matches against Internacional de Bogota, who have yet to secure a victory in this period.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Junior and Internacional de Bogota expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.26
Junior and Internacional de Bogota attack and defence ratings
Junior
Internacional de Bogota
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Junior vs Internacional de Bogota markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 56.3% | 1.78 | -2.3% | 1.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 56.3% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Internacional de Bogota | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% |
| No | 37.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Junior win | 33.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 45.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
Junior vs Internacional de Bogota stats
Junior and Internacional de Bogota recent form
| Junior |
LLWWLD |
| Internacional de Bogota |
DDLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Junior and Internacional de Bogota season so far
Junior record
- They have won 16 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 11 of 13 penalties (85%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Internacional de Bogota record
- They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Junior vs Internacional de Bogota head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Internacional de Bogota | Junior | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Junior | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-01 | Internacional de Bogota | Junior | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-12 | Internacional de Bogota | Junior | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Junior | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-20 | Internacional de Bogota | Junior | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-25 | Junior | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2022-07-17 | Internacional de Bogota | Junior | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2022-03-18 | Junior | Internacional de Bogota | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 3-1 |
| 2022-03-11 | Internacional de Bogota | Junior | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Junior vs Internacional de Bogota odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.9%, draw 24.3%, away 18.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.84 | 4.83 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.70 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 3.85 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 3.84 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 3.90 | 5.03 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.41 | 4.28 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .