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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 14

Junior vs Internacional de Bogota

2 – 2 Full time

19′Cristián Dájome
25′Jesús Rivas
29′Mateo RodasMiguel Angel Amaya Peña
47′Dewar Victoria
59′Diego DuarteFacundo Boné
59′Luis MurielFrancisco Fydriszewski
60′Teófilo GutiérrezGuillermo Paiva
60′Yeison Abelardo Suarez Vasquez
71′Francisco Fydriszewski
73′Déiber CaicedoBryan Castrillón
73′Kevin PérezYimmi Chará
74′Fabricio Sanguinetti
80′Dewar VictoriaRuben Manjarres
80′Cristián DájomeJohan Caballero
86′Jesús RivasHarold Rivera
90′Jermein Pena

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, BarranquillaReferee: Diego Ulloa Angulo

Junior 56%
Draw 24%
Internacional de Bogota 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
6 Corners 7
13 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 0
2 Saves 2
326 Accurate passes 288

Junior vs Internacional de Bogota overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Junior vs Internacional de Bogota

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJuniorDrawInternacional de Bogota
Model54.6%23.3%22.1%
Market57.1%24.3%18.6%
Final56.4%24.1%19.5%
Edge-0.6%-0.3%+0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Junior

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.24.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Junior ↓ / Internacional → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 5% 7% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Junior and Internacional de Bogota expected goals

Junior 2.03
Internacional de Bogota 1.24

Total expected goals: 3.26

Junior and Internacional de Bogota attack and defence ratings

Junior

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Internacional de Bogota

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Junior vs Internacional de Bogota: result vs prediction

Junior 2 – 2 Internacional de Bogota

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 14 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Junior vs Internacional de Bogota markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Junior 56.4% 1.77 -0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.5% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.4% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Junior56.4%
Draw24.1%
Internacional de Bogota19.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.3%
Under 2.536.7%
Both teams to scoreYes62.6%
No37.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.5%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)43.6%
Handicap -1Junior win33.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss45.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
2-19.7%
2-07.8%

Junior vs Internacional de Bogota stats

Junior and Internacional de Bogota recent form

newest first
Junior LLWWLD
Internacional de Bogota DDLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Junior and Internacional de Bogota going into this match

league record before kick-off

Junior record

  • They have won 16 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 36 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 36 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 11 of 13 penalties (85%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Internacional de Bogota record

  • They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Junior vs Internacional de Bogota head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Junior wins 4Draws 1Internacional de Bogota wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-29Internacional de BogotaJuniorPrimera A0-1
2025-09-13JuniorInternacional de BogotaPrimera A1-1
2025-04-01Internacional de BogotaJuniorPrimera A0-1
2024-10-12Internacional de BogotaJuniorPrimera A1-0
2024-03-30JuniorInternacional de BogotaPrimera A1-0
2023-08-20Internacional de BogotaJuniorPrimera A0-0
2023-02-25JuniorInternacional de BogotaPrimera A1-0
2022-07-17Internacional de BogotaJuniorPrimera A0-0
2022-03-18JuniorInternacional de BogotaCONMEBOL Sudamericana3-1
2022-03-11Internacional de BogotaJuniorCONMEBOL Sudamericana0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Junior vs Internacional de Bogota odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.1%, draw 24.3%, away 18.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.64 3.84 4.83
Bet365 1.65 3.70 5.25
BetVictor 1.62 3.80 5.00
Betano 1.70 3.95 5.40
Betfair 1.62 3.90 5.00
Dafabet 1.65 3.80 5.00
Marathonbet 1.62 3.84 4.85
Pinnacle 1.65 3.97 5.15
SBO 1.58 3.48 4.39
William Hill 1.62 3.70 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.63 ▼ -0.01
X 3.82 ▼ -0.05
2 5.00 ▲ +0.18

12 snapshots recorded, from .