Andorra
vs
Malta
1 – 2 Full time
| 4′ | Ian Olivera | ||
| 14′ | Moisés San Nicolás | ||
| 17′ | Guillaume Sylvain Lopez | ||
| 34′ | Alexander·Satariano | ||
| 36′ | Irvin Cardona | ||
| 45′ | Zach MuscatJuan Corbalan | ||
| 54′ | Gerard Garcia | ||
| 62′ | Eric·Izquierdo | ||
| 67′ | Guillaume Sylvain LopezAlbert Rosas Ubach | ||
| 67′ | Eric·Izquierdojordi alaez | ||
| 75′ | Alexander·SatarianoPaiber Brandon Diego | ||
| 75′ | Paul MbongKeyon Ewurum | ||
| 76′ | Gerard GarciaAlexandre Martínez | ||
| 81′ | Teddy Teuma | ||
| 87′ | Moisés San NicolásAlex Cornella Molins | ||
| 87′ | Ot PlanesEric Vales | ||
| 89′ | Teddy TeumaJake Grech | ||
| 90′ | Albert Rosas Ubach | ||
| 90′ | Kurt Shaw |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 24 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 6 | Saves | 4 |
| 281 | Accurate passes | 410 |
Andorra vs Malta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Andorra vs Malta
| Probability | Andorra | Draw | Malta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.1% | 33.7% | 28.2% |
| Market | 26.2% | 34.0% | 39.8% |
| Final | 29.2% | 34.0% | 36.9% |
| Edge | +11.9% | -0.3% | -11.6% |
Why Malta
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Andorra and Malta expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.96
Andorra and Malta attack and defence ratings
Andorra
Malta
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Andorra vs Malta: result vs prediction
Andorra 1 – 2 Malta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League D - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Andorra vs Malta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malta | 36.9% | 2.71 | -11.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Andorra | 29.2% |
| Draw | 34.0% | |
| Malta | 36.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.0% |
| No | 60.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malta win | 10.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 71.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.4% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-0 | 13.8% |
Andorra vs Malta stats
Andorra vs Malta head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-19 | Malta | Andorra | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-10 | Andorra | Malta | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 |
| 2020-11-14 | Malta | Andorra | UEFA Nations League | 3-1 |
| 2020-10-10 | Andorra | Malta | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Andorra vs Malta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.2%, draw 34.0%, away 39.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.78 | 2.83 | 2.42 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 2.80 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 2.63 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 2.78 | 2.43 |
| Pinnacle | 3.74 | 2.77 | 2.37 |
| SBO | 3.04 | 2.62 | 2.17 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 2.62 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .