UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League D - 2

Gibraltar vs Andorra

0 – 0 Full time

9′Tjay De Barr
26′Eric·Izquierdo
32′Biel Borra
57′Leon MasonCarlos Richards
57′Dylan BorgeJ. Gomez
63′jordi alaezOt Planes
63′Gerard GarciaAlbert Rosas Ubach
64′Pau Babot
69′Eric·IzquierdoJoel Guillén
73′Nicholas PozoEthan Jolley
78′Julian ValarinoAlain Pons
78′James ScanlonJaiden Bartolo
79′Graeme Torrilla
87′Guillaume Sylvain LopezAlexandre Martínez

Europa Sports Park, GibraltarReferee: Genc Nuza

Gibraltar 23%
Draw 31%
Andorra 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

5 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
44 Possession % 56
4 Corners 4
15 Fouls 24
3 Offsides 1
4 Saves 0
247 Accurate passes 325

Gibraltar vs Andorra overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gibraltar vs Andorra

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGibraltarDrawAndorra
Model10.2%21.7%68.2%
Market26.6%34.2%39.2%
Final22.5%31.0%46.4%
Edge-16.5%-12.5%+29.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Andorra

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.65.
  • The market prices Andorra below the model: +29.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gibraltar ↓ / Andorra → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 13% 14% 9% 7% 1 10% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Gibraltar and Andorra expected goals

Gibraltar 0.65
Andorra 1.98

Total expected goals: 2.63

Gibraltar and Andorra attack and defence ratings

Gibraltar

Attack 0.41 -59%
Defence 2.86 +186%

Andorra

Attack 0.51 -49%
Defence 1.53 +53%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gibraltar vs Andorra: result vs prediction

Gibraltar 0 – 0 Andorra

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League D - 2 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Gibraltar vs Andorra markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Andorra 46.4% 2.15 +29.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.1% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score No 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.5% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Andorra win 43.3% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gibraltar22.5%
Draw31.0%
Andorra46.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.9%
Under 2.551.1%
Both teams to scoreYes41.9%
No58.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.6%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)77.5%
Handicap -1Andorra win43.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss32.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-214.2%
0-113.4%
1-110.1%

Gibraltar vs Andorra stats

Gibraltar and Andorra recent form

newest first
Gibraltar LLLLLL
Andorra LLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gibraltar vs Andorra head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Gibraltar wins 1Draws 0Andorra wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-09-04GibraltarAndorraFriendlies1-0
2022-11-19GibraltarAndorraFriendlies1-0
2021-06-07AndorraGibraltarFriendlies0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gibraltar vs Andorra odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.6%, draw 34.2%, away 39.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.74 2.76 2.49
Bet365 3.50 2.80 2.38
BetVictor 3.50 2.75 2.40
Betano 3.50 2.75 2.37
Betfair 3.50 2.63 2.30
Marathonbet 3.70 2.73 2.46
Pinnacle 3.67 2.70 2.46
SBO 3.24 2.64 2.36
William Hill 3.40 2.62 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▲ +0.68
X 2.73 ▼ -0.12
2 2.38 ▼ -0.49

19 snapshots recorded, from .