Malta
vs
Andorra
1 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | Enrico Pepe | ||
| 46′ | Enrico PepeGabriel Mentz | ||
| 49′ | Teddy Teuma | ||
| 56′ | Teddy TeumaPaul Mbong | ||
| 69′ | Ot Remolins Planes | ||
| 70′ | Alexandre MartínezJordi Aláez | ||
| 72′ | Juan Carlos CorbalanZach Muscat | ||
| 72′ | Joseph MbongCarlo Zammit Lonardelli | ||
| 79′ | Aron Rodrigo | ||
| 84′ | Moisés San NicolásChristian García | ||
| 85′ | Ylyas ChouarefAndrea Zammit | ||
| 86′ | Alexander Satariano | ||
| 89′ | Christian García |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 405 | Accurate passes | 313 |
Malta vs Andorra overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Malta vs Andorra
| Probability | Malta | Draw | Andorra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.8% | 32.9% | 28.3% |
| Market | 57.7% | 27.9% | 14.4% |
| Final | 53.0% | 29.1% | 17.9% |
| Edge | -18.9% | +5.0% | +13.9% |
Why Malta
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Malta and Andorra expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.06
Malta and Andorra attack and defence ratings
Malta
Andorra
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Malta vs Andorra: result vs prediction
Malta 1 – 0 Andorra
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League D - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Malta vs Andorra markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malta | 53.0% | 1.89 | -18.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Malta | 53.0% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Andorra | 17.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.1% |
| No | 57.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Malta win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-0 | 13.2% |
Malta vs Andorra stats
Malta vs Andorra head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Andorra | Malta | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-19 | Malta | Andorra | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-10 | Andorra | Malta | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 |
| 2020-11-14 | Malta | Andorra | UEFA Nations League | 3-1 |
| 2020-10-10 | Andorra | Malta | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Malta vs Andorra odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.7%, draw 27.9%, away 14.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.46 | 7.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.30 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.50 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.40 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.30 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 3.45 | 6.57 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.02 | 4.48 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.25 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .