Liechtenstein
vs
Lithuania
0 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | Justas Lasickas | ||
| 40′ | F. Saglam | ||
| 45′ | Modestas VorobjovasMotiejus Burba | ||
| 53′ | Lukas Michelbrink | ||
| 61′ | F. SaglamAlessandro Lo Russo | ||
| 61′ | Eligijus JankauskasArtur Dolžnikov | ||
| 61′ | Pijus SirvysAdrian Lickūnas | ||
| 66′ | Artur Dolžnikov | ||
| 73′ | A. KučysManfredas Ruzgis | ||
| 73′ | Fabio Luque Notarokenny kindle | ||
| 73′ | Aron SeleS. Schlegel | ||
| 84′ | Justas Lasickaszygimantas baltrunas | ||
| 88′ | Marcel BüchelAndrin·Netzer | ||
| 88′ | Emanuel ZündBruno Poitner |
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 27 | Possession % | 73 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 211 | Accurate passes | 674 |
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Liechtenstein vs Lithuania
| Probability | Liechtenstein | Draw | Lithuania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.0% | 22.5% | 68.5% |
| Market | 7.3% | 19.9% | 72.8% |
| Final | 7.7% | 20.6% | 71.7% |
| Edge | +1.7% | +2.5% | -4.3% |
Why Lithuania
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.65 vs 0.33.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Liechtenstein and Lithuania expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Liechtenstein and Lithuania attack and defence ratings
Liechtenstein
Lithuania
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania: result vs prediction
Liechtenstein 0 – 2 Lithuania
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League D - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lithuania | 71.7% | 1.39 | -4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Lithuania win | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Liechtenstein | 7.7% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Lithuania | 71.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.3% |
| No | 63.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 28.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 92.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lithuania win | 66.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.8% | |
| Loss | 13.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.9% |
| 0-2 | 15.7% | |
| 1-1 | 10.0% |
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania stats
Liechtenstein and Lithuania recent form
| Liechtenstein |
LLLLLL |
| Lithuania |
LLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Liechtenstein vs Lithuania odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.3%, draw 19.9%, away 72.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 14.10 | 4.86 | 1.32 |
| Bet365 | 9.50 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 15.00 | 4.60 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 13.00 | 5.00 | 1.34 |
| Betfair | 13.00 | 4.60 | 1.22 |
| Marathonbet | 14.00 | 4.80 | 1.31 |
| Pinnacle | 13.08 | 4.79 | 1.30 |
| SBO | 10.60 | 4.40 | 1.29 |
| William Hill | 12.00 | 4.33 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .