Azerbaijan
vs
Liechtenstein
0 – 0 Full time
| 40′ | kenny kindle | ||
| 41′ | Lars Traber | ||
| 45′ | kenny kindleFabio Luque Notaro | ||
| 45′ | Rahim SadikhovAleksey Isaev | ||
| 45′ | Tellur MutallimovRufat Abbasov | ||
| 47′ | Alessio Hasler | ||
| 57′ | Mahir Emreli | ||
| 59′ | Emin MakhmudovAykhan Guseynov | ||
| 59′ | Musa QurbanlyRufat Abdullazada | ||
| 60′ | Alessandro Lo RussoFlorian Allgäuer | ||
| 75′ | Vüsal İsgändärliEdqar Adilxanov | ||
| 77′ | Alessio HaslerEmanuel Zünd | ||
| 77′ | Aron SeleAndrin·Netzer | ||
| 80′ | Tural Bayramov | ||
| 90′ | Marcel BüchelS. Schlegel |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 74 | Possession % | 26 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 7 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 590 | Accurate passes | 142 |
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein
| Probability | Azerbaijan | Draw | Liechtenstein |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 26.0% | 12.5% |
| Market | 83.4% | 12.1% | 4.4% |
| Final | 77.9% | 15.6% | 6.5% |
| Edge | -21.9% | +13.9% | +8.0% |
Why Azerbaijan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.61.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein attack and defence ratings
Azerbaijan
Liechtenstein
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein: result vs prediction
Azerbaijan 0 – 0 Liechtenstein
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League D - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Azerbaijan | 77.9% | 1.28 | -21.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Azerbaijan | 77.9% |
| Draw | 15.6% | |
| Liechtenstein | 6.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.1% |
| No | 61.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Azerbaijan win | 35.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.4% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.1% |
| 2-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein stats
Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein recent form
| Azerbaijan |
DLLLLD |
| Liechtenstein |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 83.4%, draw 12.1%, away 4.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 7.75 | 25.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 7.50 | 19.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 8.00 | 26.00 |
| Betano | 1.17 | 7.90 | 22.00 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 7.70 | 25.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14 | 7.87 | 19.88 |
| SBO | 1.12 | 7.05 | 15.88 |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 7.00 | 21.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .