Coquimbo Unido
vs
U. Catolica
1 – 2 Full time
Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica
| Probability | Coquimbo Unido | Draw | U. Catolica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 29.8% | 25.3% |
| Market | 43.4% | 29.2% | 27.4% |
| Final | 43.8% | 29.3% | 26.9% |
| Edge | +1.5% | +0.6% | -2.1% |
Why Coquimbo Unido
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.98.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Coquimbo Unido and U. Catolica expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Coquimbo Unido and U. Catolica attack and defence ratings
Coquimbo Unido
U. Catolica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica: result vs prediction
Coquimbo Unido 1 – 2 U. Catolica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 19 fixtures
Before and after this match
Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coquimbo Unido | 43.8% | 2.28 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coquimbo Unido | 43.8% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| U. Catolica | 26.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Coquimbo Unido win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.8% |
Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica stats
Coquimbo Unido and U. Catolica recent form
| Coquimbo Unido |
DDDDLD |
| U. Catolica |
LLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Coquimbo Unido and U. Catolica going into this match
Coquimbo Unido record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
U. Catolica record
- They have won 11 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | U. Catolica | Coquimbo Unido | Chile Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2026-01-25 | U. Catolica | Coquimbo Unido | Super Cup | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | U. Catolica | Coquimbo Unido | Chile Primera División | 0-3 |
| 2025-02-22 | Coquimbo Unido | U. Catolica | Chile Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | U. Catolica | Coquimbo Unido | Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2024-06-03 | Coquimbo Unido | U. Catolica | Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-05 | U. Catolica | Coquimbo Unido | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-2 |
| 2024-01-24 | Coquimbo Unido | U. Catolica | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-23 | U. Catolica | Coquimbo Unido | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-03 | Coquimbo Unido | U. Catolica | Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Coquimbo Unido vs U. Catolica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 29.2%, away 27.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.16 | 3.35 | 3.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.42 |
| 888Sport | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.18 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.32 | 3.61 |
| SBO | 2.17 | 3.04 | 2.93 |
| Superbet | 2.12 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.30 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .