Chile Primera División
·
Full time
·Matchday 16
Coquimbo Unido
vs
Universidad de Concepcion
1 – 0 Full time
| 4′ | Elvis HernándezLukas Soza | ||
| 47′ | Benjamín Sáez | ||
| 54′ | Cristián Zavala | ||
| 58′ | Luis RojasCristhofer Mesías | ||
| 70′ | Benjamín SáezJorge Espejo | ||
| 81′ | Antonio DíazYerco Oyanedel | ||
| 81′ | Rogelio Funes MoriIam González | ||
| 81′ | Jeison FuentealbaHarol Salgado | ||
| 85′ | Luis Riveros | ||
| 85′ | Pablo RodríguezBenjamín Chandía | ||
| 87′ | Cristián ZavalaJuan Cornejo | ||
| 90′ | Cecilio Waterman | ||
| 90′ | Cristhofer Mesías |
Coquimbo Unido
59%
Draw
25%
Universidad de Concepcion
16%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 12 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 423 | Accurate passes | 254 |
Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion
| Probability | Coquimbo Unido | Draw | Universidad de Concepcion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.8% | 26.7% | 14.5% |
| Market | 58.8% | 24.6% | 16.6% |
| Final | 58.8% | 25.1% | 16.1% |
| Edge | +0.0% | +2.1% | -2.2% |
Why Coquimbo Unido
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.69.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
Coquimbo Unido and Universidad de Concepcion expected goals
Coquimbo Unido
1.62
Universidad de Concepcion
0.69
Total expected goals: 2.31
Coquimbo Unido and Universidad de Concepcion attack and defence ratings
Coquimbo Unido
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Universidad de Concepcion
Attack
0.69 -31%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion: result vs prediction
Coquimbo Unido 1 – 0 Universidad de Concepcion
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coquimbo Unido | 58.8% | 1.70 | +0.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coquimbo Unido | 58.8% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 16.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.0% |
| No | 59.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Coquimbo Unido win | 33.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 41.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.0% |
| 2-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-1 | 12.2% |
Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion stats
Coquimbo Unido and Universidad de Concepcion recent form
| Coquimbo Unido |
LDDDDL |
| Universidad de Concepcion |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Coquimbo Unido and Universidad de Concepcion going into this match
Coquimbo Unido record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
Universidad de Concepcion record
- They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 21 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
2Coquimbo Unido wins
1Draws
3Universidad de Concepcion wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Universidad de Concepcion | Coquimbo Unido | Chile Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-16 | Universidad de Concepcion | Coquimbo Unido | Primera B | 0-1 |
| 2021-05-10 | Coquimbo Unido | Universidad de Concepcion | Primera B | 1-0 |
| 2021-02-07 | Universidad de Concepcion | Coquimbo Unido | Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2020-10-21 | Coquimbo Unido | Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2019-07-27 | Coquimbo Unido | Universidad de Concepcion | Primera División | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.8%, draw 24.6%, away 16.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.61 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 3.65 | 5.59 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 3.95 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.82 | 5.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 3.93 | 6.02 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.50 | 4.94 |
| Superbet | 1.59 | 3.75 | 5.30 |
| Unibet | 1.55 | 3.95 | 5.80 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.57 ▼ -0.01
X
3.75 ▼ -0.20
2
5.55 ▲ +0.42
6 snapshots recorded, from .