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Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 22

Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido

4 – 2 Full time

27′Lucas Emilio Barrera HacickiMaximiliano Guerrero
45′Benjamín GazzoloJoshua Arancibia Latapiat
63′Eduardo Vargas
64′Alejandro CamargoSalvador Cordero
64′Luis RiverosBenjamin Chandia
70′Nicolás FernándezFabián Hormazabal
70′Gonzalo Ezequiel ReynaIsrael Poblete
71′Benjamin Chandia
73′Pablo Roberto Andres Rodriguez SalgadoGuido Vadalá
73′Nicolas JohansenFacundo Pons
77′Juan Cornejo
80′Maximiliano Guerrero
82′Gabriel Castellón
82′Charles AránguizOctavio Rivero
82′Agustín ArceJuan Martin Lucero
85′Facundo Pons
86′Juan Martin Lucero
90′Marcelo Ariel Morales Suárez
90′Juan Martin Lucero
90′Joshua Arancibia Latapiat
90′Octavio Rivero

Referee: C. Garay

Universidad de Chile 49%
Draw 27%
Coquimbo Unido 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 4
61 Possession % 39
5 Corners 4
10 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 8
422 Accurate passes 235

Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUniversidad de ChileDrawCoquimbo Unido
Model49.7%30.3%20.0%
Market49.2%26.6%24.2%
Final49.3%27.5%23.2%
Edge+0.6%+3.7%-4.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Universidad de Chile

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.78.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Universidad de ↓ / Coquimbo Unido → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 8% 1 15% 14% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Universidad de Chile and Coquimbo Unido expected goals

Universidad de Chile 1.38
Coquimbo Unido 0.78

Total expected goals: 2.16

Universidad de Chile and Coquimbo Unido attack and defence ratings

Universidad de Chile

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Coquimbo Unido

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido: result vs prediction

Universidad de Chile 4 – 2 Coquimbo Unido

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universidad de Chile 49.3% 2.03 +0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.5% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 58.3% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.3% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Universidad de Chile49.3%
Draw27.5%
Coquimbo Unido23.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.5%
Under 2.563.5%
Both teams to scoreYes41.7%
No58.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.8%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)50.7%
Handicap -1Universidad de Chile win24.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.9%
Loss50.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.7%
1-113.7%
0-012.8%

Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido stats

Universidad de Chile and Coquimbo Unido recent form

newest first
Universidad de Chile LLWWWW
Coquimbo Unido WLDDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Universidad de Chile and Coquimbo Unido going into this match

league record before kick-off

Universidad de Chile record

  • They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Coquimbo Unido record

  • They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.

Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Universidad de Chile wins 3Draws 4Coquimbo Unido wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14Coquimbo UnidoUniversidad de ChileChile Primera División0-1
2025-12-02Universidad de ChileCoquimbo UnidoChile Primera División1-1
2025-06-15Coquimbo UnidoUniversidad de ChileChile Primera División1-0
2025-01-05Coquimbo UnidoUniversidad de ChileFriendlies Clubs2-1
2024-10-13Universidad de ChileCoquimbo UnidoCopa Chile1-0
2024-10-09Coquimbo UnidoUniversidad de ChileCopa Chile0-0
2024-08-31Coquimbo UnidoUniversidad de ChilePrimera División0-1
2024-04-14Universidad de ChileCoquimbo UnidoPrimera División1-1
2024-01-30Coquimbo UnidoUniversidad de ChileFriendlies Clubs1-0
2023-11-24Universidad de ChileCoquimbo UnidoPrimera División1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 26.5%, away 24.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.94 3.35 3.60
1xBet 1.82 3.50 3.77
Bet365 1.90 3.50 3.90
BetVictor 1.90 3.50 3.90
Betano 1.85 3.70 4.15
Betfair 1.91 3.40 3.60
Dafabet 1.94 3.60 3.90
Marathonbet 1.88 3.56 3.75
Pinnacle 1.93 3.77 3.90
SBO 1.88 3.04 3.46
Superbet 1.90 3.45 3.75
Unibet 1.95 3.45 3.80
William Hill 1.85 3.30 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.89 ▲ +0.13
X 3.50 ▼ -0.20
2 3.83 ▼ -0.92

13 snapshots recorded, from .