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Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 22

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica

0 – 1 Full time

14′Benjamín Berríos
35′Fernando Zampedri
37′Cristian Cuevas
61′Diego Corral ContrerasClemente Montes
61′Jimmy MartínezMatias Palavecino
61′Julian AlfaroJosué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda
61′Lucas SotoGustavo Charrupi
62′Branco Ampuero
70′Emiliano RamosBraian Aaron Martínez
70′Nicolás BaezaVicente Fernández
81′Justo GianiMartin Gomez
86′nicolas montielCristian Palacios

Estadio Sausalito, Vina del MarReferee: Jose Cabero Rebolledo, Chile

Everton de Vina 42%
Draw 26%
U. Catolica 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
55 Possession % 45
7 Corners 4
12 Fouls 9
5 Offsides 2
0 Saves 6
375 Accurate passes 280

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEverton de VinaDrawU. Catolica
Model60.9%20.8%18.3%
Market35.6%27.1%37.3%
Final41.9%25.5%32.6%
Edge+25.3%-6.3%-19.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Everton de Vina

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 1.23.
  • The market prices Everton de Vina below the model: +25.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Everton de Vin ↓ / U. Catolica → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 5% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Everton de Vina and U. Catolica expected goals

Everton de Vina 2.32
U. Catolica 1.23

Total expected goals: 3.55

Everton de Vina and U. Catolica attack and defence ratings

Everton de Vina

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 0.89 -11%

U. Catolica

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica: result vs prediction

Everton de Vina 0 – 1 U. Catolica

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Everton de Vina 41.9% 2.39 +25.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.8% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.6% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Everton de Vina win 39.7% 2.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Everton de Vina41.9%
Draw25.5%
U. Catolica32.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.8%
Under 2.531.2%
Both teams to scoreYes64.6%
No35.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.4%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)58.1%
Handicap -1Everton de Vina win39.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss39.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.5%
1-19.0%
2-07.7%

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica stats

Everton de Vina and U. Catolica recent form

newest first
Everton de Vina WWDWLD
U. Catolica WWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Everton de Vina and U. Catolica going into this match

league record before kick-off

Everton de Vina record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

U. Catolica record

  • They have won 11 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Everton de Vina wins 3Draws 5U. Catolica wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-01U. CatolicaEverton de VinaCopa Chile2-1
2026-06-24Everton de VinaU. CatolicaCopa Chile1-3
2026-03-14U. CatolicaEverton de VinaChile Primera División2-2
2025-10-19Everton de VinaU. CatolicaChile Primera División0-3
2025-05-11Everton de VinaU. CatolicaCopa Chile2-1
2025-04-26U. CatolicaEverton de VinaChile Primera División6-0
2025-01-26U. CatolicaEverton de VinaCopa Chile1-0
2024-08-11Everton de VinaU. CatolicaPrimera División0-0
2024-03-11U. CatolicaEverton de VinaPrimera División2-4
2023-08-10U. CatolicaEverton de VinaCopa Chile0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.4%, draw 27.1%, away 38.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.80 3.45 2.26
1xBet 2.50 3.40 2.40
Bet365 2.60 3.40 2.55
BetVictor 2.60 3.50 2.50
Betano 2.80 3.50 2.45
Betfair 2.75 3.40 2.30
Dafabet 2.80 3.50 2.44
Marathonbet 2.62 3.42 2.46
Pinnacle 2.68 3.65 2.55
SBO 2.56 3.10 2.29
Superbet 2.75 3.35 2.37
Unibet 3.00 3.30 2.28
William Hill 2.50 3.30 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▼ -0.21
X 3.41 ▲ +0.11
2 2.48 ▲ +0.10

13 snapshots recorded, from .