Chile Primera División
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
O'Higgins
vs
Union La Calera
2 – 1 Full time
| 33′ | Arnaldo Castillo | ||
| 39′ | Luis Pavez Muñoz | ||
| 46′ | Joaquín SotoCamilo Moya | ||
| 46′ | Francisco Jose PozzoMatías Campos López | ||
| 59′ | Sebastián Sáez | ||
| 65′ | Bayron OyarzoCarlo Villanueva | ||
| 69′ | Ignacio SchorSantiago Toloza | ||
| 79′ | Walter BouTomás Avilés | ||
| 82′ | Sebastián Sáez | ||
| 83′ | Juan SalomoniYonathan Andía | ||
| 85′ | Camilo Moya | ||
| 86′ | Tomás Avilés | ||
| 87′ | Rodrigo PérezMartín Hiriart | ||
| 89′ | Daniel Gutiérrez | ||
| 90′ | Bastián YáñezCristian Morales | ||
| 90′ | Juan LeivaLeandro Díaz |
O'Higgins
52%
Draw
27%
Union La Calera
21%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 458 | Accurate passes | 276 |
O'Higgins vs Union La Calera overview
Garuda Lions analysis: O'Higgins vs Union La Calera
| Probability | O'Higgins | Draw | Union La Calera |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 28.7% | 21.1% |
| Market | 52.9% | 26.3% | 20.8% |
| Final | 52.2% | 26.9% | 20.9% |
| Edge | -2.7% | +2.5% | +0.2% |
Why O'Higgins
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
O'Higgins and Union La Calera expected goals
O'Higgins
1.49
Union La Calera
0.88
Total expected goals: 2.37
O'Higgins and Union La Calera attack and defence ratings
O'Higgins
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Union La Calera
Attack
0.66 -34%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
O'Higgins vs Union La Calera: result vs prediction
O'Higgins 2 – 1 Union La Calera
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
O'Higgins vs Union La Calera markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | O'Higgins | 52.2% | 1.91 | -2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | O'Higgins | 52.2% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Union La Calera | 20.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | O'Higgins win | 26.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 49.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.7% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
O'Higgins vs Union La Calera stats
O'Higgins and Union La Calera recent form
| O'Higgins |
LLDLWW |
| Union La Calera |
LDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
O'Higgins and Union La Calera going into this match
O'Higgins record
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.9 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
Union La Calera record
- They have won 5 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
O'Higgins vs Union La Calera head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3O'Higgins wins
5Draws
2Union La Calera wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Union La Calera | O'Higgins | Chile Primera División | 3-3 |
| 2025-08-03 | O'Higgins | Union La Calera | Chile Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Union La Calera | O'Higgins | Chile Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-28 | O'Higgins | Union La Calera | Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-07 | Union La Calera | O'Higgins | Primera División | 2-3 |
| 2023-10-01 | O'Higgins | Union La Calera | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-17 | Union La Calera | O'Higgins | Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-13 | O'Higgins | Union La Calera | Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2022-04-19 | Union La Calera | O'Higgins | Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2021-09-25 | Union La Calera | O'Higgins | Primera División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
O'Higgins vs Union La Calera odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.5%, draw 26.3%, away 21.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.78 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 3.50 | 4.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.60 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.81 | 3.70 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.55 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.78 | 4.58 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.26 | 3.78 |
| Superbet | 1.78 | 3.55 | 4.15 |
| Unibet | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.75 ▼ -0.04
X
3.52 ▼ -0.12
2
4.44 ▲ +0.20
10 snapshots recorded, from .