Chile Primera División
·
Full time
·Matchday 23
Union La Calera
vs
Deportes Limache
1 – 0 Full time
| 16′ | Brian Nicolás Ferreyra | ||
| 19′ | Tiago Hernández Galletto | ||
| 29′ | Christopher Díaz | ||
| 43′ | Kevin Méndez | ||
| 58′ | Misael Llantén | ||
| 59′ | Misael LlanténHugo Martinez | ||
| 65′ | Martín Hiriart EspinozaBayron Oyarzo | ||
| 70′ | Leonardo Valencia | ||
| 71′ | Brian Nicolás FerreyraMatías Campos López | ||
| 71′ | Camilo MoyaYonathan Andía | ||
| 73′ | Marcos ArturiaGonzalo Sosa | ||
| 73′ | Tiago Hernández GallettoVicente Álvarez | ||
| 88′ | Javier RojasMarcelo Pablo Flores Vivallo | ||
| 88′ | Leonardo ValenciaVicente Amaro Cárcamo Osorio | ||
| 90′ | Rodrigo Perez Casada | ||
| 90′ | Daniel Castro | ||
| 90′ | Sebastián SáezJoan Cruz |
Union La Calera
34%
Draw
27%
Deportes Limache
39%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Offsides | 5 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 207 | Accurate passes | 325 |
Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache
| Probability | Union La Calera | Draw | Deportes Limache |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.0% | 26.4% | 47.6% |
| Market | 37.0% | 27.2% | 35.8% |
| Final | 34.2% | 27.0% | 38.8% |
| Edge | -11.0% | -0.7% | +11.7% |
Why Deportes Limache
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Deportes Limache below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
79%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Union La Calera and Deportes Limache expected goals
Union La Calera
1.19
Deportes Limache
1.67
Total expected goals: 2.86
Union La Calera and Deportes Limache attack and defence ratings
Union La Calera
Attack
0.65 -35%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Deportes Limache
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache: result vs prediction
Union La Calera 1 – 0 Deportes Limache
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportes Limache | 38.8% | 2.58 | +11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union La Calera | 34.2% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Deportes Limache | 38.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportes Limache win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache stats
Union La Calera and Deportes Limache recent form
| Union La Calera |
LLDLLL |
| Deportes Limache |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Union La Calera and Deportes Limache going into this match
Union La Calera record
- They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Deportes Limache record
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Union La Calera wins
0Draws
2Deportes Limache wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Deportes Limache | Union La Calera | Chile Primera División | 4-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Union La Calera | Deportes Limache | Chile Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-14 | Deportes Limache | Union La Calera | Chile Primera División | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.7%, draw 27.2%, away 35.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.22 | 3.40 | 2.88 |
| 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| 888Sport | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.55 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.35 | 3.45 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.34 | 2.58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.45 | 2.66 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 3.08 | 2.63 |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 3.50 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.50 ▲ +0.02
X
3.40 ▲ +0.15
2
2.58 ▼ -0.22
17 snapshots recorded, from .