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Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 23

Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato

0 – 2 Full time

28′S. Nunez
46′C. Mesias
46′C. Mesias
53′T. Roco
58′T. RocoH. Salgado
58′M. GonzalezD. Retamal
67′K. AltezE. Canete
67′S. NunezL. Altamirano
68′Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez
72′B. OgazF. Mater
72′R. Funes MoriI. Gonzalez
76′H. Antinirre
79′M. RodriguezC. Martinez
79′L. RojasD. Sabando
79′M. A. Leon MunozJ. Carcamo
87′O. Gonzalez
90′F. Mater
90′H. AntinirreC. G. Torres Gaete
90′L. Altamirano

Estadio Ester Roa, ConcepciónReferee: M. H. Assadi Quintana

Universidad de Concepcion 44%
Draw 27%
Huachipato 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 5
48 Possession % 52
5 Corners 5
15 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 3
3 Saves 2
304 Accurate passes 381

Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUniversidad de ConcepcionDrawHuachipato
Model38.1%28.7%33.2%
Market45.9%26.5%27.6%
Final44.0%27.0%29.0%
Edge-7.8%+2.2%+5.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Universidad de ↓ / Huachipato → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 9%

Universidad de Concepcion and Huachipato expected goals

Universidad de Concepcion 1.36
Huachipato 1.26

Total expected goals: 2.62

Universidad de Concepcion and Huachipato attack and defence ratings

Universidad de Concepcion

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Huachipato

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato: result vs prediction

Universidad de Concepcion 0 – 2 Huachipato

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universidad de Concepcion 44.0% 2.27 -7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.3% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.5% 1.83 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.9% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Universidad de Concepcion44.0%
Draw27.0%
Huachipato29.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.7%
Under 2.551.3%
Both teams to scoreYes54.5%
No45.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.0%
12 (either side)73.0%
X2 (draw or away)56.0%
Handicap -1Universidad de Concepcion win18.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss61.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-08.7%
0-08.5%

Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato stats

Universidad de Concepcion and Huachipato recent form

newest first
Universidad de Concepcion LLWLLL
Huachipato WDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Universidad de Concepcion and Huachipato going into this match

league record before kick-off

Universidad de Concepcion record

  • They have won 6 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.

Huachipato record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Universidad de Concepcion wins 2Draws 4Huachipato wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-07HuachipatoUniversidad de ConcepcionChile Primera División5-1
2020-11-23Universidad de ConcepcionHuachipatoPrimera División0-1
2020-02-08HuachipatoUniversidad de ConcepcionPrimera División1-1
2019-08-18Universidad de ConcepcionHuachipatoPrimera División1-1
2019-05-19HuachipatoUniversidad de ConcepcionPrimera División1-0
2018-08-05Universidad de ConcepcionHuachipatoPrimera División1-0
2018-02-24HuachipatoUniversidad de ConcepcionPrimera División3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Universidad de Concepcion vs Huachipato odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.3%, draw 26.9%, away 27.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.08 3.45 3.15
1xBet 1.97 3.40 3.36
888Sport 2.05 3.20 3.20
Bet365 2.00 3.50 3.50
BetVictor 2.05 3.50 3.40
Betano 2.10 3.55 3.45
Betfair 2.00 3.50 3.10
Dafabet 2.11 3.60 3.35
Marathonbet 2.02 3.42 3.34
Pinnacle 2.11 3.62 3.46
SBO 2.06 3.13 3.07
Unibet 2.18 3.35 3.15
William Hill 2.00 3.25 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 ▼ -0.28
X 3.50 ▲ +0.24
2 3.36 ▲ +0.50

52 snapshots recorded, from .