Chile Primera División
·
Full time
·Matchday 23
Colo Colo
vs
Concepción
1 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Norman Rodriguez | ||
| 40′ | Cristian Riquelme | ||
| 45′ | Diego UlloaFrancisco Marchant | ||
| 59′ | Fernando Ortiz | ||
| 62′ | Álvaro MadridTomás Alarcón | ||
| 62′ | Lautaro PastránMarcos Bolados | ||
| 66′ | Jorge HenríquezJoaquín Montecinos | ||
| 66′ | Cristian RiquelmeMisael Dávila | ||
| 67′ | Norman Rodriguez | ||
| 68′ | Mario Sandoval | ||
| 76′ | Joaquín LarriveyCarlos Escobar | ||
| 76′ | Ethan EspinozaMatías Cavalleri | ||
| 77′ | Fernando Martinez | ||
| 78′ | Jeyson RojasFelipe Raipán |
Colo Colo
63%
Draw
22%
Concepción
15%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 71 | Possession % | 29 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 554 | Accurate passes | 196 |
Colo Colo vs Concepción overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colo Colo vs Concepción
| Probability | Colo Colo | Draw | Concepción |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.5% | 26.3% | 20.2% |
| Market | 65.9% | 20.5% | 13.7% |
| Final | 62.8% | 21.9% | 15.3% |
| Edge | -12.4% | +5.8% | +6.5% |
Why Colo Colo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.97.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Colo Colo and Concepción expected goals
Colo Colo
1.69
Concepción
0.97
Total expected goals: 2.66
Colo Colo and Concepción attack and defence ratings
Colo Colo
Attack
1.67 +67%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Concepción
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
0.64 -36%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colo Colo vs Concepción: result vs prediction
Colo Colo 1 – 1 Concepción
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colo Colo vs Concepción markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colo Colo | 62.8% | 1.59 | -12.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colo Colo | 62.8% |
| Draw | 21.9% | |
| Concepción | 15.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colo Colo win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 10.7% | |
| 2-0 | 10.1% |
Colo Colo vs Concepción stats
Colo Colo and Concepción recent form
| Colo Colo |
DWWDWW |
| Concepción |
LWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colo Colo and Concepción going into this match
Colo Colo record
- They have won 17 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Concepción record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 11 penalties (73%).
Colo Colo vs Concepción head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
3Colo Colo wins
0Draws
0Concepción wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Colo Colo | Concepción | Copa De La Liga | 3-1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Concepción | Colo Colo | Chile Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Concepción | Colo Colo | Copa De La Liga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colo Colo vs Concepción odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.9%, draw 20.5%, away 13.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.40 | 4.45 | 6.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.30 | 6.75 |
| 888Sport | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.70 | 7.60 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.42 | 4.90 | 7.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 4.50 | 6.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.69 | 7.10 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.18 | 6.09 |
| Unibet | 1.43 | 4.50 | 6.25 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.40 ▲ +0.05
X
4.50 ▼ -0.05
2
6.75 ▼ -1.15
15 snapshots recorded, from .