Coquimbo Unido
vs
Colo Colo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Colo Colo
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo
| Probability | Coquimbo Unido | Draw | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.6% | 24.1% | 54.3% |
| Market | 30.6% | 27.8% | 41.7% |
| Final | 28.3% | 26.8% | 44.8% |
| Edge | -8.9% | -3.7% | +12.7% |
Why Colo Colo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Colo Colo below the model: +12.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo match preview
Coquimbo Unido faces Colo Colo in the Chile Primera División with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 28% probability for a Coquimbo Unido victory, a 27% chance for a draw, and a 45% likelihood of a Colo Colo win. The expected goals suggest Coquimbo Unido will score 1.16, while Colo Colo is projected to net 1.94. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 10% probability.
In terms of recent form, Coquimbo Unido has struggled with three losses in their last five matches, alongside one win and one draw. Conversely, Colo Colo has shown more resilience, with two wins and three draws in their last five fixtures. The head-to-head record favors Colo Colo, who has won two of the last three encounters, while Coquimbo Unido has secured one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Coquimbo Unido and Colo Colo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Coquimbo Unido and Colo Colo attack and defence ratings
Coquimbo Unido
Colo Colo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
- Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion — team news & stats
- Huachipato vs O'Higgins
- U. Catolica v A. Italiano — match page
- Everton de Vina vs D. La Serena — team news & stats
- Concepción v Union La Calera — match page
- Deportes Limache vs Palestino — team news & stats
- Universidad de Chile v Nublense — match page
Before and after this match
Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colo Colo | 44.8% | 2.23 | +12.7% | 2.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coquimbo Unido | 28.3% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Colo Colo | 44.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colo Colo win | 32.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 45.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.4% |
Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo stats
Coquimbo Unido and Colo Colo recent form
| Coquimbo Unido |
LLLWLD |
| Colo Colo |
DDWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Coquimbo Unido and Colo Colo season so far
Coquimbo Unido record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
Colo Colo record
- They have won 17 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Colo Colo | Coquimbo Unido | Chile Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Coquimbo Unido | Colo Colo | Chile Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-26 | Colo Colo | Coquimbo Unido | Chile Primera División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Coquimbo Unido vs Colo Colo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 27.8%, away 41.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.06 | 3.20 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.30 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 3.24 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 3.19 | 3.35 | 2.25 |
| SBO | 2.81 | 3.04 | 2.14 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
28 snapshots recorded, from .