Garuda Lions
Today
Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 24

Deportes Limache vs Palestino

2 – 2 Full time

43′Marcelo Eggel
45′Gonzalo Sosa
45′Vicente ÁlvarezLeonardo Valencia
53′Sebastian Gallegos
55′Gonzalo Sosa
66′Marcelo EggelJonathan Benítez
73′Ronnie Fernández
78′Gonzalo TapiaFrancisco Montes
78′Bryan CarrascoJose Bizama
90′César MunderIan Zohar Alegría Pindal
90′Sebastian GallegosNicolás Meza

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, LimacheReferee: Francisco Gilabert

Deportes Limache 43%
Draw 26%
Palestino 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
46 Possession % 54
3 Corners 4
7 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
1 Saves 2
318 Accurate passes 399

Deportes Limache vs Palestino overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportes Limache vs Palestino

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportes LimacheDrawPalestino
Model43.5%25.1%31.3%
Market42.5%25.7%31.8%
Final42.8%25.5%31.7%
Edge+0.3%-0.1%-0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportes Limac ↓ / Palestino → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Deportes Limache and Palestino expected goals

Deportes Limache 1.75
Palestino 1.46

Total expected goals: 3.21

Deportes Limache and Palestino attack and defence ratings

Deportes Limache

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Palestino

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportes Limache vs Palestino: result vs prediction

Deportes Limache 2 – 2 Palestino

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportes Limache vs Palestino markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportes Limache 42.8% 2.34 +0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.5% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.7% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.5% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportes Limache42.8%
Draw25.5%
Palestino31.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.5%
Under 2.537.5%
Both teams to scoreYes64.7%
No35.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.3%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)57.2%
Handicap -1Deportes Limache win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss56.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.0%
1-27.5%

Deportes Limache vs Palestino stats

Deportes Limache and Palestino recent form

newest first
Deportes Limache LWWLWL
Palestino LWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportes Limache and Palestino going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportes Limache record

  • They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Palestino record

  • They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 7 penalties (43%).

Deportes Limache vs Palestino head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

0Deportes Limache wins 1Draws 5Palestino wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-12PalestinoDeportes LimacheCopa De La Liga3-2
2026-04-12PalestinoDeportes LimacheChile Primera División1-0
2026-03-26Deportes LimachePalestinoCopa De La Liga1-1
2025-11-03PalestinoDeportes LimacheChile Primera División2-1
2025-05-18Deportes LimachePalestinoChile Primera División0-1
2023-04-09Deportes LimachePalestinoCopa Chile1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportes Limache vs Palestino odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 25.7%, away 31.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.10 3.55 2.91
Bet365 2.20 3.60 2.90
BetVictor 2.20 3.70 2.90
Betano 2.25 3.70 3.00
Betfair 2.15 3.60 2.75
Dafabet 2.24 3.65 3.05
Marathonbet 2.14 3.60 2.93
Pinnacle 2.22 3.80 3.07
SBO 2.11 3.35 2.80
William Hill 2.15 3.40 2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.17 ▲ +0.05
X 3.60 —
2 2.91 ▼ -0.07

32 snapshots recorded, from .