Chile Primera División · ·Matchday 24

Deportes Limache vs Palestino

Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportes Limache

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache

Deportes Limache 43%
Draw 26%
Palestino 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Deportes Limache wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Deportes Limache vs Palestino overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportes Limache vs Palestino

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportes LimacheDrawPalestino
Model43.4%25.2%31.4%
Market43.0%25.7%31.3%
Final43.1%25.5%31.4%
Edge+0.4%-0.5%+0.1%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Deportes Limache vs Palestino match preview

Deportes Limache faces Palestino in the Chile Primera División, with the match set to kick off on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 43% probability of a Deportes Limache victory, while Palestino has a 31% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Deportes Limache, with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, as there is a 62% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Deportes Limache has recorded two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Palestino has also experienced inconsistency with two wins and four losses. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Palestino has dominated, winning all three matches against Deportes Limache. Expected goals suggest Deportes Limache will score 1.75 and Palestino 1.47, indicating a competitive matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportes Limac ↓ / Palestino → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Deportes Limache and Palestino expected goals

Deportes Limache 1.75
Palestino 1.47

Total expected goals: 3.22

Deportes Limache and Palestino attack and defence ratings

Deportes Limache

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Palestino

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

Deportes Limache vs Palestino markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportes Limache 43.1% 2.32 +0.4% 2.22
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.7% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.6% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportes Limache43.1%
Draw25.5%
Palestino31.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes64.7%
No35.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.6%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)56.9%
Handicap -1Deportes Limache win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss56.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
2-19.0%
1-27.5%

Deportes Limache vs Palestino stats

Deportes Limache and Palestino recent form

newest first
Deportes Limache LWWLWL
Palestino LWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportes Limache and Palestino season so far

league record

Deportes Limache record

  • They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Palestino record

  • They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 7 penalties (43%).

Deportes Limache vs Palestino head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Deportes Limache wins 0Draws 3Palestino wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12PalestinoDeportes LimacheChile Primera División1-0
2025-11-03PalestinoDeportes LimacheChile Primera División2-1
2025-05-18Deportes LimachePalestinoChile Primera División0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportes Limache vs Palestino odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 25.7%, away 31.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.09 3.55 2.95
Bet365 2.10 3.60 3.00
Betano 2.20 3.75 3.05
Betfair 2.15 3.60 2.75
Dafabet 2.18 3.75 3.05
Marathonbet 2.14 3.60 2.93
Pinnacle 2.22 3.69 3.00
SBO 2.10 3.26 2.73
William Hill 2.15 3.30 2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.03
X 3.60 —
2 2.95 ▼ -0.02

28 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Deportes Limache Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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