Palestino
vs
Colo Colo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Colo Colo
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Colo Colo is the favourite, not a value bet.
Palestino vs Colo Colo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Palestino vs Colo Colo
| Probability | Palestino | Draw | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.8% | 22.0% | 35.2% |
| Market | 27.7% | 26.3% | 46.0% |
| Final | 31.5% | 25.2% | 43.3% |
| Edge | +3.8% | -1.1% | -2.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (our 43.3% × 2.10 − 1).
Palestino vs Colo Colo match preview
Palestino faces Colo Colo in the Chile Primera División with probabilities indicating a 32% chance of a Palestino win, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 43% chance for Colo Colo to secure victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with a 7% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring match, with over 2.5 goals projected at 77% and both teams to score at 76%.
In terms of recent form, Palestino has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins and three draws in their last five matches, while Colo Colo has seen two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. The expected goals for the match are 2.12 for Palestino and 1.92 for Colo Colo, suggesting a competitive encounter. In their last three head-to-head meetings, Palestino has secured one win and two draws against Colo Colo, who have yet to win in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Palestino and Colo Colo expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.03
Palestino and Colo Colo attack and defence ratings
Palestino
Colo Colo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Palestino vs Colo Colo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colo Colo | 43.3% | 2.31 | -2.7% | 2.10 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Palestino | 31.5% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Colo Colo | 43.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.8% |
| No | 24.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colo Colo win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.2% | |
| Loss | 64.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.9% |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Palestino vs Colo Colo stats
Palestino and Colo Colo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Palestino and Colo Colo season so far
Palestino record
- They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 7 penalties (43%).
Colo Colo record
- They have won 17 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Palestino vs Colo Colo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Colo Colo | Palestino | Chile Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-22 | Palestino | Colo Colo | Chile Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Colo Colo | Palestino | Chile Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Palestino vs Colo Colo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 26.3%, away 46.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.26 | 3.50 | 1.97 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.65 | 2.07 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.58 | 1.96 |
| Pinnacle | 3.32 | 3.65 | 2.08 |
| SBO | 3.04 | 3.28 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .