O'Higgins
vs
Cobresal
Garuda Lions Prediction: O'Higgins
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — O'Higgins is the favourite, not a value bet.
O'Higgins vs Cobresal overview
Garuda Lions analysis: O'Higgins vs Cobresal
| Probability | O'Higgins | Draw | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.8% | 27.6% | 33.6% |
| Market | 57.1% | 23.6% | 19.4% |
| Final | 52.5% | 24.6% | 22.9% |
| Edge | -4.6% | +1.0% | +3.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.7% per unit staked (our 52.5% × 1.70 − 1).
O'Higgins vs Cobresal match preview
O'Higgins faces Cobresal in the Chile Primera División with O'Higgins holding a 52% probability of winning, while Cobresal has a 23% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expectation for over 2.5 goals is at 53%, and both teams scoring is projected at 58%. Expected goals are calculated at 1.46 for O'Higgins and 1.34 for Cobresal.
In terms of recent form, O'Higgins has struggled with two losses followed by a draw, while Cobresal has seen mixed results with two wins and a draw in their last five matches. The head-to-head record shows O'Higgins with two wins and one draw against Cobresal in their last three encounters. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
O'Higgins and Cobresal expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
O'Higgins and Cobresal attack and defence ratings
O'Higgins
Cobresal
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
O'Higgins vs Cobresal markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | O'Higgins | 52.5% | 1.90 | -4.6% | 1.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | O'Higgins | 52.5% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Cobresal | 22.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | O'Higgins win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 61.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
O'Higgins vs Cobresal stats
O'Higgins and Cobresal recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
O'Higgins and Cobresal season so far
O'Higgins record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
Cobresal record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
O'Higgins vs Cobresal head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Cobresal | O'Higgins | Chile Primera División | 2-3 |
| 2025-08-16 | O'Higgins | Cobresal | Chile Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Cobresal | O'Higgins | Chile Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
O'Higgins vs Cobresal odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.1%, draw 23.6%, away 19.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.90 | 4.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.10 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.95 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.10 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.64 | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.11 | 4.84 |
| SBO | 1.56 | 3.71 | 4.27 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
22 snapshots recorded, from .