Cobresal
vs
Everton de Vina
Garuda Lions Prediction: Everton de Vina
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.50.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Everton de Vina is the favourite, not a value bet.
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cobresal vs Everton de Vina
| Probability | Cobresal | Draw | Everton de Vina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.0% | 23.8% | 47.2% |
| Market | 31.0% | 25.8% | 43.1% |
| Final | 30.5% | 25.3% | 44.2% |
| Edge | -0.5% | -0.5% | +1.0% |
Why Everton de Vina
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.50.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (our 44.2% × 2.19 − 1).
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina match preview
Cobresal faces Everton de Vina in a Chile Primera División match with Cobresal holding a 31% probability of winning, while Everton de Vina stands at 44%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.50 for Cobresal and 1.94 for Everton de Vina. Both teams are expected to score, with a 67% likelihood for that outcome.
In terms of recent form, Cobresal has recorded two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Everton de Vina has been more successful, achieving four wins and a draw in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows Cobresal with no wins against Everton de Vina in their last three encounters, including one draw and two victories for Everton.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cobresal and Everton de Vina expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.44
Cobresal and Everton de Vina attack and defence ratings
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Everton de Vina | 44.2% | 2.26 | +1.0% | 2.19 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cobresal | 30.5% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Everton de Vina | 44.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% |
| No | 32.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Everton de Vina win | 27.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.0% |
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina stats
Cobresal and Everton de Vina recent form
| Cobresal |
DDWLWD |
| Everton de Vina |
WWLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cobresal and Everton de Vina season so far
Cobresal record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
Everton de Vina record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Everton de Vina | Cobresal | Chile Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Cobresal | Everton de Vina | Chile Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-24 | Everton de Vina | Cobresal | Chile Primera División | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cobresal vs Everton de Vina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.0%, draw 25.8%, away 43.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.95 | 3.55 | 2.09 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.18 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.54 | 2.19 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .