Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 23

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido

3 – 2 Full time

41′Juan Fuentes
45′Pablo Roberto Andres Rodriguez Salgado
45′Stefan PinoMartín Espinoza
45′Franco FriasCesar Yanis
45′Luis RiverosSebastián Cabrera
56′Christian Moreno
59′Benjamín Gazzolo
60′Guillermo Pacheco
60′Pablo Roberto Andres Rodriguez SalgadoGuido Vadalá
65′Alejandro CamargoSalvador Cordero
65′Benjamin ChandiaAlejandro Azocar
68′Salvador Cordero
71′Christian Moreno
75′Nicolas JohansenLucas Pratto
77′Julián BreaRenato Huerta
82′Sebastián Cabrera
86′Lucas Pratto
89′Antonio CastilloRodrigo Francisco Sandoval Muñoz
90′Leroy Janpol Morales NapaBryan Carvallo

El Cobre, El SalvadorReferee: Jose Cabero Rebolledo, Chile

Cobresal 30%
Draw 27%
Coquimbo Unido 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
45 Possession % 55
8 Corners 9
10 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
5 Saves 1
295 Accurate passes 388

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCobresalDrawCoquimbo Unido
Model38.4%27.6%34.0%
Market27.6%27.2%45.2%
Final30.3%27.3%42.4%
Edge+10.8%+0.4%-11.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cobresal ↓ / Coquimbo Unido → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Cobresal and Coquimbo Unido expected goals

Cobresal 1.44
Coquimbo Unido 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.80

Cobresal and Coquimbo Unido attack and defence ratings

Cobresal

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Coquimbo Unido

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido: result vs prediction

Cobresal 3 – 2 Coquimbo Unido

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coquimbo Unido 42.4% 2.36 -11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.0% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.9% 1.73 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.8% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cobresal30.3%
Draw27.3%
Coquimbo Unido42.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.0%
Under 2.547.0%
Both teams to scoreYes57.9%
No42.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.6%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)69.7%
Handicap -1Coquimbo Unido win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss65.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-18.6%
1-28.0%

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido stats

Cobresal and Coquimbo Unido recent form

newest first
Cobresal LWDLLW
Coquimbo Unido LWLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cobresal and Coquimbo Unido going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cobresal record

  • They have won 5 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 22 matches.

Coquimbo Unido record

  • They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Cobresal wins 2Draws 6Coquimbo Unido wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03Coquimbo UnidoCobresalChile Primera División3-2
2025-08-10CobresalCoquimbo UnidoChile Primera División1-2
2025-03-23Coquimbo UnidoCobresalCopa Chile0-0
2025-03-09Coquimbo UnidoCobresalChile Primera División1-1
2025-02-08CobresalCoquimbo UnidoCopa Chile0-2
2024-10-20Coquimbo UnidoCobresalPrimera División2-0
2024-07-14CobresalCoquimbo UnidoCopa Chile1-0
2024-07-06Coquimbo UnidoCobresalCopa Chile4-0
2024-05-20CobresalCoquimbo UnidoPrimera División2-3
2023-09-03CobresalCoquimbo UnidoPrimera División3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.9%, draw 27.3%, away 44.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.30 3.40 2.04
1xBet 3.36 3.35 1.99
888Sport 3.10 3.20 2.10
Bet365 3.30 3.60 2.05
BetVictor 3.40 3.50 2.05
Betano 3.50 3.50 2.07
Betfair 3.25 3.30 2.00
Dafabet 3.30 3.50 2.16
Marathonbet 3.40 3.40 2.05
Pinnacle 3.54 3.49 2.12
SBO 3.18 3.17 2.00
Superbet 3.20 3.35 2.12
Unibet 3.60 3.35 2.02
William Hill 3.25 3.10 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.36 ▲ +0.32
X 3.40 ▲ +0.24
2 2.05 ▼ -0.20

13 snapshots recorded, from .