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Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 23

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile

0 – 3 Full time

11′Rafael Delgado
29′Eduardo Vargas
45′Gonzalo Ezequiel ReynaMarcelo Díaz
47′Agustín Arce
50′Ángelo HenríquezDiego Rubio
55′Fabián Hormazabal
59′Agustín Arce
72′Jeisson VargasAlexander Oroz
72′F. DinamarcaJoaquín Gutierrez
74′Nicolás FernándezIgor Lichnovsky
74′Juan Martin LuceroIgnacio Vásquez
82′Felipe ChamorroMatias Pinto
82′Matías MarínSebastián Díaz
89′Maximiliano Guerrero
90′Igor Lichnovsky

La Portada, La SerenaReferee: Mathias Riquelme, Chile

D. La Serena 27%
Draw 25%
Universidad de Chile 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 5
53 Possession % 47
5 Corners 6
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 0
0 Saves 3
301 Accurate passes 261

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile overview

Garuda Lions analysis: D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityD. La SerenaDrawUniversidad de Chile
Model37.6%24.5%37.9%
Market23.4%25.1%51.5%
Final26.9%24.9%48.1%
Edge+14.2%-0.6%-13.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Universidad de Chile

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

D. La Serena ↓ / Universidad de → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 11% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

D. La Serena and Universidad de Chile expected goals

D. La Serena 1.70
Universidad de Chile 1.71

Total expected goals: 3.41

D. La Serena and Universidad de Chile attack and defence ratings

D. La Serena

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Universidad de Chile

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile: result vs prediction

D. La Serena 0 – 3 Universidad de Chile

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universidad de Chile 48.1% 2.08 -13.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.3% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.0% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.1% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2D. La Serena26.9%
Draw24.9%
Universidad de Chile48.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.3%
Under 2.533.7%
Both teams to scoreYes68.0%
No32.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)51.9%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)73.1%
Handicap -1Universidad de Chile win19.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.0%
Loss62.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.6%
1-28.2%
2-18.2%

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile stats

D. La Serena and Universidad de Chile recent form

newest first
D. La Serena WWDWDL
Universidad de Chile WLLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

D. La Serena and Universidad de Chile going into this match

league record before kick-off

D. La Serena record

  • They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.

Universidad de Chile record

  • They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0D. La Serena wins 5Draws 5Universidad de Chile wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02D. La SerenaUniversidad de ChileCopa De La Liga0-5
2026-04-05Universidad de ChileD. La SerenaChile Primera División4-0
2026-03-20Universidad de ChileD. La SerenaCopa De La Liga2-2
2025-09-28D. La SerenaUniversidad de ChileChile Primera División1-1
2025-04-17Universidad de ChileD. La SerenaChile Primera División3-1
2022-10-09D. La SerenaUniversidad de ChilePrimera División1-2
2022-05-07Universidad de ChileD. La SerenaPrimera División2-0
2021-09-06Universidad de ChileD. La SerenaPrimera División1-1
2021-04-11D. La SerenaUniversidad de ChilePrimera División0-0
2020-12-17D. La SerenaUniversidad de ChilePrimera División0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.6%, draw 25.2%, away 51.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.70 3.65 1.82
1xBet 3.97 3.60 1.75
888Sport 3.75 3.40 1.80
Bet365 4.00 3.70 1.80
BetVictor 4.00 3.75 1.80
Betano 4.15 3.80 1.91
Betfair 3.60 3.60 1.80
Dafabet 3.95 3.70 1.90
Marathonbet 3.90 3.74 1.80
Pinnacle 4.14 3.89 1.84
SBO 3.40 3.21 1.84
Unibet 3.65 3.60 1.94
William Hill 3.75 3.40 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.97 ▼ -0.11
X 3.70 ▲ +0.15
2 1.80 ▼ -0.04

15 snapshots recorded, from .