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Chile Primera División · Full time ·Matchday 23

Nublense vs Everton de Vina

1 – 3 Full time

11′Vicente Guzmán
23′Alan Medina
35′Ignacio Tapia
37′Robinson Manuel Rivera Zúñiga
41′Ignacio Jeraldino
45′Vicente GuzmánLucas Molina Canto
45′Robinson Manuel Rivera ZúñigaDiego Sanhueza
59′Ignacio TapiaMatías Plaza
59′Ignacio JeraldinoFranco Rami
62′Pablo Calderón
64′Emiliano RamosJosué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda
64′Julian AlfaroGustavo Charrupi
73′Felipe CamposEsteban Calderón
74′Fernando Ovelar
76′Josué Miguel Nehemías Ovalle Aranda
88′Lucas SotoBraian Aaron Martínez
89′nicolas montielVicente Fernández
89′Nicolás BaezaHugo Magallanes
90′Osvaldo Bosso
90′Alan Medina

Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas, ChillanReferee: Francisco Gilabert, Chile

Nublense 34%
Draw 28%
Everton de Vina 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 9
56 Possession % 44
4 Corners 2
12 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 3
6 Saves 2
338 Accurate passes 273

Nublense vs Everton de Vina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nublense vs Everton de Vina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNublenseDrawEverton de Vina
Model29.4%27.4%43.2%
Market35.5%28.7%35.8%
Final34.0%28.4%37.6%
Edge-6.1%-1.3%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Everton de Vina

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.24.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Everton de Vina below the model: +7.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nublense ↓ / Everton de Vin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Nublense and Everton de Vina expected goals

Nublense 1.24
Everton de Vina 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.78

Nublense and Everton de Vina attack and defence ratings

Nublense

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Everton de Vina

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nublense vs Everton de Vina: result vs prediction

Nublense 1 – 3 Everton de Vina

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 23 fixtures

Chile Primera División

Before and after this match

Nublense vs Everton de Vina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Everton de Vina 37.6% 2.66 +7.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.5% 1.90 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.0% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.8% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nublense34.0%
Draw28.4%
Everton de Vina37.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.5%
Under 2.547.5%
Both teams to scoreYes57.0%
No43.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.4%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)66.0%
Handicap -1Everton de Vina win22.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss56.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-29.1%
0-18.4%

Nublense vs Everton de Vina stats

Nublense and Everton de Vina recent form

newest first
Nublense LLLWWD
Everton de Vina LWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nublense and Everton de Vina going into this match

league record before kick-off

Nublense record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Everton de Vina record

  • They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.1 at home.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

Nublense vs Everton de Vina head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Nublense wins 4Draws 2Everton de Vina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Everton de VinaNublenseChile Primera División0-0
2025-08-03NublenseEverton de VinaChile Primera División1-0
2025-03-01Everton de VinaNublenseChile Primera División1-2
2024-08-18NublenseEverton de VinaPrimera División1-1
2024-03-16Everton de VinaNublensePrimera División3-2
2023-09-03NublenseEverton de VinaPrimera División1-0
2023-03-11Everton de VinaNublensePrimera División1-0
2022-09-14Everton de VinaNublensePrimera División1-1
2022-04-18NublenseEverton de VinaPrimera División2-1
2021-10-23NublenseEverton de VinaPrimera División1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nublense vs Everton de Vina odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 28.4%, away 34.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.44 3.25 2.70
1xBet 2.55 3.15 2.50
888Sport 2.40 3.00 2.70
Bet365 2.62 3.20 2.62
BetVictor 2.63 3.30 2.60
Betano 2.70 3.30 2.67
Betfair 2.40 3.25 2.63
Dafabet 2.47 3.35 2.90
Marathonbet 2.62 3.24 2.57
Pinnacle 2.73 3.40 2.65
SBO 2.47 3.05 2.52
Superbet 2.42 3.25 2.80
Unibet 2.33 3.15 3.05
William Hill 2.60 3.10 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.62 ▲ +0.58
X 3.24 ▼ -0.04
2 2.60 ▼ -0.81

12 snapshots recorded, from .