China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
Hangzhou Greentown
vs
Wuhan Three Towns
4 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | M. Tolic | ||
| 14′ | A. Mitrita | ||
| 30′ | Zhang XiaobinJ. Xiong | ||
| 46′ | Gao DiFang Hao | ||
| 52′ | J. Xiong | ||
| 67′ | Xu HaofengWang Jinxian | ||
| 70′ | Tao QianglongWu Wei | ||
| 72′ | L. Possignolo | ||
| 78′ | M. Tolic | ||
| 79′ | M. TolicBao Shengxin | ||
| 80′ | Fang Hao | ||
| 81′ | Gustavo Sauer | ||
| 85′ | A. ZhangWang Yang | ||
| 85′ | Cheng JinWang Shiqin | ||
| 86′ | Li Ang | ||
| 87′ | Wu Wei | ||
| 89′ | Ming TianWang Denny | ||
| 89′ | K. BevisLi Shenyuan | ||
| 89′ | A. LeauteyLong Wei | ||
| 90′ | J. Cadiz |
Hangzhou Greentown
51%
Draw
22%
Wuhan Three Towns
27%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 27 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 240 | Accurate passes | 479 |
Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns
| Probability | Hangzhou Greentown | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 23.5% | 30.7% |
| Market | 52.9% | 21.8% | 25.4% |
| Final | 51.1% | 22.2% | 26.7% |
| Edge | -7.0% | +1.7% | +5.3% |
Why Hangzhou Greentown
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 1.60.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
Hangzhou Greentown and Wuhan Three Towns expected goals
Hangzhou Greentown
1.97
Wuhan Three Towns
1.60
Total expected goals: 3.57
Hangzhou Greentown and Wuhan Three Towns attack and defence ratings
Hangzhou Greentown
Attack
1.26 +26%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Wuhan Three Towns
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns: result vs prediction
Hangzhou Greentown 4 – 1 Wuhan Three Towns
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Before and after this match
Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hangzhou Greentown | 51.1% | 1.96 | -7.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hangzhou Greentown | 51.1% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Wuhan Three Towns | 26.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% |
| No | 30.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hangzhou Greentown win | 26.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 54.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.1% |
Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns stats
Hangzhou Greentown and Wuhan Three Towns recent form
| Hangzhou Greentown |
LWDLLW |
| Wuhan Three Towns |
DDWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hangzhou Greentown and Wuhan Three Towns going into this match
Hangzhou Greentown record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Wuhan Three Towns record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Hangzhou Greentown wins
1Draws
2Wuhan Three Towns wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Wuhan Three Towns | Hangzhou Greentown | China Super League | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Hangzhou Greentown | Wuhan Three Towns | China Super League | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-28 | Wuhan Three Towns | Hangzhou Greentown | China Super League | 0-4 |
| 2024-10-18 | Wuhan Three Towns | Hangzhou Greentown | Super League | 0-2 |
| 2024-05-21 | Hangzhou Greentown | Wuhan Three Towns | Super League | 3-1 |
| 2023-08-04 | Hangzhou Greentown | Wuhan Three Towns | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-05 | Wuhan Three Towns | Hangzhou Greentown | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2022-12-27 | Wuhan Three Towns | Hangzhou Greentown | Super League | 2-0 |
| 2022-10-04 | Hangzhou Greentown | Wuhan Three Towns | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2021-12-22 | Hangzhou Greentown | Wuhan Three Towns | League One | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.9%, draw 21.8%, away 25.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 4.30 | 3.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 4.33 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.25 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.33 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 4.20 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 4.60 | 3.75 |
| SBO | 1.72 | 3.76 | 3.31 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.75 —
X
4.25 ▲ +0.10
2
3.65 ▼ -0.19
11 snapshots recorded, from .