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China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 27

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG

2 – 4 Full time

6′Wei Zhen
7′A. Yang
13′O. Melendo
18′P. O. Ampem
46′Sun GuowenTong Lei
46′Tao QianglongY. Wang
47′Liu Zhurun
50′A. Yang
53′Yusup Umidjan
54′A. Mitrita
56′Leonardo
65′Fang HaoWu Wei
65′Cheng JinBao Shengxin
67′K. Muscat
70′A. YangWang Zhenao
72′A. Mitrita
82′Yusup UmidjanZhang Linpeng
82′Liu ZhurunX. Li
88′LeonardoWu Lei
88′P. O. AmpemKuai Jiwen
90′M. Tolic

Huizhou Olympic Stadium, HuizhouReferee: Xin He, China

Hangzhou Greentown 40%
Draw 24%
SHANGHAI SIPG 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 9
40 Possession % 60
5 Corners 8
7 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 4
5 Saves 5
293 Accurate passes 475

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHangzhou GreentownDrawSHANGHAI SIPG
Model48.0%24.8%27.2%
Market37.8%23.8%38.4%
Final40.4%24.0%35.6%
Edge+10.2%+1.0%-11.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Hangzhou Greentown

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.35.
  • The market prices Hangzhou Greentown below the model: +10.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hangzhou Green ↓ / SHANGHAI SIPG → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Hangzhou Greentown and SHANGHAI SIPG expected goals

Hangzhou Greentown 1.84
SHANGHAI SIPG 1.35

Total expected goals: 3.19

Hangzhou Greentown and SHANGHAI SIPG attack and defence ratings

Hangzhou Greentown

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 1.05 +5%

SHANGHAI SIPG

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG: result vs prediction

Hangzhou Greentown 2 – 4 SHANGHAI SIPG

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hangzhou Greentown 40.4% 2.48 +10.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.9% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.4% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.2% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hangzhou Greentown40.4%
Draw24.0%
SHANGHAI SIPG35.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.9%
Under 2.538.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.4%
No36.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.4%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.6%
Handicap -1Hangzhou Greentown win27.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss52.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-19.4%
2-07.0%

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG stats

Hangzhou Greentown and SHANGHAI SIPG recent form

newest first
Hangzhou Greentown WLWDLL
SHANGHAI SIPG DWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hangzhou Greentown and SHANGHAI SIPG going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hangzhou Greentown record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SHANGHAI SIPG record

  • They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Hangzhou Greentown wins 4Draws 4SHANGHAI SIPG wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-15SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou GreentownChina Super League2-2
2025-10-31SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou GreentownChina Super League3-0
2025-06-14Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPGChina Super League2-2
2024-07-17Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPGFA Cup1-2
2024-06-29SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou GreentownSuper League3-1
2024-03-09Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPGSuper League0-0
2023-08-12SHANGHAI SIPGHangzhou GreentownSuper League3-4
2023-05-14Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPGSuper League1-2
2023-01-11Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPGFA Cup0-0
2022-11-22Hangzhou GreentownSHANGHAI SIPGSuper League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.8%, draw 23.8%, away 38.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.54 3.96 2.49
Bet365 2.40 3.90 2.45
BetVictor 2.40 3.90 2.40
Betano 2.45 3.85 2.42
Betfair 2.45 4.00 2.40
Dafabet 2.60 3.95 2.48
Marathonbet 2.45 3.82 2.40
Pinnacle 2.50 4.06 2.54
SBO 2.33 3.40 2.18
William Hill 2.45 3.60 2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▼ -0.16
X 3.90 ▼ -0.06
2 2.41 ▲ +0.14

13 snapshots recorded, from .