China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
Shanghai Shenhua
vs
Yunnan Yukun
7 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Rafael Ratao | ||
| 31′ | Cleber | ||
| 43′ | Xie Pengfei | ||
| 46′ | Duan LiuyuAbdusalam Bunyamin | ||
| 53′ | Jin Shunkai | ||
| 57′ | Rafael Ratao | ||
| 61′ | Tsui Wang-Kit | ||
| 62′ | Wang Haijian | ||
| 66′ | Deng HanwenHuang Zichang | ||
| 67′ | J. TeixeiraGao Tianyi | ||
| 67′ | Xie PengfeiXu Haoyang | ||
| 75′ | Rafael Ratao | ||
| 76′ | A. Ionita IIJ. Saeter | ||
| 76′ | Xu XinYe Chugui | ||
| 77′ | O. Taty MarituZhao Yuhao | ||
| 79′ | Rafael RataoHan Jiawen | ||
| 79′ | L. AsueLiu Chengyu | ||
| 81′ | Liu Chengyu | ||
| 83′ | Wu XiYang Zexiang |
Shanghai Shenhua
57%
Draw
19%
Yunnan Yukun
23%
Match stats
| 32 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 8 |
| 402 | Accurate passes | 358 |
Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun
| Probability | Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Yunnan Yukun |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.2% | 18.3% | 30.5% |
| Market | 59.5% | 19.5% | 21.0% |
| Final | 57.4% | 19.2% | 23.4% |
| Edge | -2.1% | -0.3% | +2.4% |
Why Shanghai Shenhua
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.87 vs 2.27.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
97%
3+ goals
89%
No goals
1%
Shanghai Shenhua and Yunnan Yukun expected goals
Shanghai Shenhua
2.87
Yunnan Yukun
2.27
Total expected goals: 5.14
Shanghai Shenhua and Yunnan Yukun attack and defence ratings
Shanghai Shenhua
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Yunnan Yukun
Attack
1.35 +35%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun: result vs prediction
Shanghai Shenhua 7 – 1 Yunnan Yukun
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
- Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda — team news & stats
- Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing — match page
- Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns — team news & stats
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng
Before and after this match
Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 57.4% | 1.74 | -2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 57.4% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| Yunnan Yukun | 23.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 84.9% |
| No | 15.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shanghai Shenhua win | 33.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.3% | |
| Loss | 48.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-2 | 6.2% |
| 3-2 | 6.0% | |
| 2-1 | 5.5% |
Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun stats
Shanghai Shenhua and Yunnan Yukun recent form
| Shanghai Shenhua |
WLWLWW |
| Yunnan Yukun |
WLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shanghai Shenhua and Yunnan Yukun going into this match
Shanghai Shenhua record
- They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Yunnan Yukun record
- They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2Shanghai Shenhua wins
1Draws
1Yunnan Yukun wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Yunnan Yukun | Shanghai Shenhua | China Super League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Yunnan Yukun | Shanghai Shenhua | China Super League | 4-4 |
| 2025-04-02 | Shanghai Shenhua | Yunnan Yukun | China Super League | 3-1 |
| 2023-06-23 | Yunnan Yukun | Shanghai Shenhua | FA Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 19.5%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.98 | 4.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.75 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.75 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.80 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 5.00 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.59 | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 4.80 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 5.17 | 4.43 |
| SBO | 1.49 | 4.42 | 4.05 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.60 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.57 ▲ +0.03
X
4.80 ▼ -0.10
2
4.44 ▼ -0.08
13 snapshots recorded, from .