China Super League
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
Chongqing Tongliang Long
vs
Shandong Luneng
1 – 1 Full time
| 25′ | Zhang Zhixiong | ||
| 46′ | Liu YangR. Merkies | ||
| 46′ | Memet ImranHuang Zhengyu | ||
| 57′ | Liang WeipengChen Chunxin | ||
| 57′ | Wei SuoweiLiu Mingshi | ||
| 66′ | P. Alvaro | ||
| 70′ | Chen PuShi Songchen | ||
| 72′ | V. Qazaishvili | ||
| 77′ | Gao Zhunyi | ||
| 78′ | Gao ZhunyiJ. Lu | ||
| 82′ | L. DimataDu Yuezheng | ||
| 82′ | G. CimpanuWu Yongqiang | ||
| 85′ | Xie WennengChen Zeshi | ||
| 90′ | Du Yuezheng |
Chongqing Tongliang Long
35%
Draw
27%
Shandong Luneng
38%
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 295 | Accurate passes | 463 |
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng
| Probability | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Draw | Shandong Luneng |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.1% | 28.6% | 43.3% |
| Market | 37.5% | 26.8% | 35.8% |
| Final | 35.1% | 27.2% | 37.7% |
| Edge | -2.4% | +0.5% | +1.9% |
Why Shandong Luneng
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shandong Luneng expected goals
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.12
Shandong Luneng
1.46
Total expected goals: 2.58
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shandong Luneng attack and defence ratings
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Attack
0.61 -39%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Shandong Luneng
Attack
1.09 +9%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng: result vs prediction
Chongqing Tongliang Long 1 – 1 Shandong Luneng
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
- Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Shanghai Shenhua v Yunnan Yukun — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda — team news & stats
- Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing — match page
- Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shandong Luneng | 37.7% | 2.66 | +1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 35.1% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Shandong Luneng | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shandong Luneng win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 56.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-2 | 9.0% |
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng stats
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shandong Luneng recent form
| Chongqing Tongliang Long |
LDLDLL |
| Shandong Luneng |
DWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Shandong Luneng going into this match
Chongqing Tongliang Long record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shandong Luneng record
- They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0Chongqing Tongliang Long wins
0Draws
2Shandong Luneng wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Shandong Luneng | Chongqing Tongliang Long | China Super League | 3-1 |
| 2024-06-22 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Shandong Luneng | FA Cup | 3-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.5%, draw 26.8%, away 35.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 3.50 | 2.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.38 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.59 | 3.56 | 2.69 |
| SBO | 2.38 | 3.12 | 2.43 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.50 ▼ -0.09
X
3.50 ▲ +0.04
2
2.62 ▲ +0.12
11 snapshots recorded, from .