Chengdu Better City
vs
Tianjin Teda
Garuda Lions Prediction: Chengdu Better City
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda
| Probability | Chengdu Better City | Draw | Tianjin Teda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.9% | 29.7% | 33.4% |
| Market | 50.1% | 24.9% | 25.0% |
| Final | 46.8% | 26.1% | 27.1% |
| Edge | -13.2% | +4.8% | +8.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda match preview
Chengdu Better City faces Tianjin Teda in the China Super League on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 37% probability of a Chengdu win, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 33% likelihood of a Tianjin victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Chengdu, with an expected goals tally of 1.28 for Chengdu and 1.20 for Tianjin.
In terms of recent form, Chengdu Better City has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while Tianjin Teda has achieved two wins, two draws, and two losses. In their last three encounters, Chengdu has won once, while Tianjin has secured two victories, indicating a competitive matchup ahead. The probabilities reflect a model-based analysis with a confidence grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda attack and defence ratings
Chengdu Better City
Tianjin Teda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye — team news & stats
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan
- Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Shanghai Shenhua v Yunnan Yukun — match page
- Qingdao Youth Island v Dalian Zhixing — match page
- Shenyang Urban vs Wuhan Three Towns — team news & stats
- Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shandong Luneng
Before and after this match
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chengdu Better City | 46.8% | 2.14 | -13.2% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chengdu Better City | 46.8% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Tianjin Teda | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chengdu Better City win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 63.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.4% |
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda stats
Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda recent form
| Chengdu Better City |
DWLWLD |
| Tianjin Teda |
WWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda season so far
Chengdu Better City record
- They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tianjin Teda record
- They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Tianjin Teda | Chengdu Better City | China Super League | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-18 | Tianjin Teda | Chengdu Better City | China Super League | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Chengdu Better City | Tianjin Teda | China Super League | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-12 | Chengdu Better City | Tianjin Teda | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Tianjin Teda | Chengdu Better City | Super League | 2-3 |
| 2023-09-29 | Tianjin Teda | Chengdu Better City | Super League | 2-2 |
| 2023-06-08 | Chengdu Better City | Tianjin Teda | Super League | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-08 | Chengdu Better City | Tianjin Teda | Super League | 2-1 |
| 2022-06-16 | Tianjin Teda | Chengdu Better City | Super League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.1%, draw 24.9%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.94 | 3.71 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.65 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.75 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.80 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 3.91 | 3.65 |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.28 | 3.53 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .