Garuda Lions
Today
China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 27

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan

0 – 3 Full time

5′F. Abreu
32′Serginho
40′U. Spajic
62′F. Abreu
65′F. AbreuYang Liyu
65′Bai YangLi Lei
65′Lin LiangmingZhang Xizhe
68′L. TufegdzicC. Strandberg
71′Yue Tze-NamWang Gang
71′Gong Ruicong
78′SerginhoChi Zhongguo
78′Liu XinyuLiu Guobao
78′Wei ZixianLi Hailong
81′Wang Gang
83′Jin YangyangLiu Jiashen
83′Jin YonghaoYang Cong
90′Li Suda

Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, QingdaoReferee: Shan Dan'ao, China

Qingdao Jonoon 14%
Draw 18%
Beijing Guoan 68%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
35 Possession % 65
2 Corners 4
13 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 5
4 Saves 3
250 Accurate passes 563

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQingdao JonoonDrawBeijing Guoan
Model12.0%18.2%69.8%
Market14.3%18.5%67.2%
Final13.7%18.5%67.9%
Edge-2.3%-0.4%+2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Beijing Guoan

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.51 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Beijing Guoan below the model: +2.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Qingdao Jonoon ↓ / Beijing Guoan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 10% 8% 9% 1 8% 9% 8% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan expected goals

Qingdao Jonoon 0.98
Beijing Guoan 2.51

Total expected goals: 3.48

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan attack and defence ratings

Qingdao Jonoon

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.48 +48%

Beijing Guoan

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan: result vs prediction

Qingdao Jonoon 0 – 3 Beijing Guoan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Beijing Guoan 67.9% 1.47 +2.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.6% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.3% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Beijing Guoan win 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Qingdao Jonoon13.7%
Draw18.5%
Beijing Guoan67.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.6%
Under 2.532.4%
Both teams to scoreYes58.1%
No41.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)32.1%
12 (either side)81.5%
X2 (draw or away)86.3%
Handicap -1Beijing Guoan win48.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss30.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-29.6%
1-29.4%
1-18.3%

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan stats

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan recent form

newest first
Qingdao Jonoon LLLLLL
Beijing Guoan DDDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Qingdao Jonoon and Beijing Guoan going into this match

league record before kick-off

Qingdao Jonoon record

  • They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Beijing Guoan record

  • They have won 11 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Qingdao Jonoon wins 2Draws 3Beijing Guoan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-15Beijing GuoanQingdao JonoonChina Super League4-2
2025-10-26Beijing GuoanQingdao JonoonChina Super League2-4
2025-05-17Qingdao JonoonBeijing GuoanChina Super League1-1
2024-10-19Beijing GuoanQingdao JonoonSuper League6-0
2024-05-21Qingdao JonoonBeijing GuoanSuper League1-1
2023-07-22Beijing GuoanQingdao JonoonSuper League2-0
2023-04-25Qingdao JonoonBeijing GuoanSuper League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Beijing Guoan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.3%, draw 18.5%, away 67.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.01 5.47 1.38
Bet365 7.00 5.00 1.38
BetVictor 7.00 5.00 1.33
Betano 6.50 5.00 1.38
Betfair 6.50 5.00 1.33
Dafabet 6.80 5.60 1.41
Marathonbet 6.30 5.05 1.37
Pinnacle 6.32 5.62 1.41
SBO 5.03 4.06 1.36
William Hill 6.00 4.80 1.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.50 ▲ +1.23
X 5.00 ▲ +0.40
2 1.38 ▼ -0.14

11 snapshots recorded, from .