China Super League · Full time ·Matchday 28

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban

0 – 4 Full time

7′G. Mbenza
12′Li Suda
30′G. MbenzaA. Kouame
41′Pan Ximing
45′Jin Yangyang
45′M. Ristic
46′Li SudaSun Zheng'ao
46′Liu GuobaoKuang Zhaolei
50′H. ZhangFelipe
57′Che ShiweiLiu Xinyu
57′Jeffinho
67′Jin Yangyang
67′Jin Yangyang
69′C. StrandbergYi Xinyang
75′M. EdjoumaNgan Cheuk-Pan
79′Tian DeaoYan Dinghao
80′D. MawlanniyazGao Jiarun
80′Li TixiangTian Yinong
85′A. Kouame
90′A. Kouame

Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, QingdaoReferee: Kim Hee-gon, South Korea

Qingdao Jonoon 15%
Draw 19%
Shenyang Urban 66%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 7
48 Possession % 52
4 Corners 2
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2
3 Saves 1
301 Accurate passes 332

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQingdao JonoonDrawShenyang Urban
Model28.2%24.9%47.0%
Market10.9%17.1%72.0%
Final15.2%19.0%65.7%
Edge+17.2%+7.8%-25.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Shenyang Urban

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.38.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Qingdao Jonoon ↓ / Shenyang Urban → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Qingdao Jonoon and Shenyang Urban expected goals

Qingdao Jonoon 1.38
Shenyang Urban 1.82

Total expected goals: 3.20

Qingdao Jonoon and Shenyang Urban attack and defence ratings

Qingdao Jonoon

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 1.49 +49%

Shenyang Urban

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban: result vs prediction

Qingdao Jonoon 0 – 4 Shenyang Urban

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

China Super League

Before and after this match

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shenyang Urban 65.7% 1.52 -25.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 84.8% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.1% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Qingdao Jonoon15.2%
Draw19.0%
Shenyang Urban65.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)34.3%
12 (either side)81.0%
X2 (draw or away)84.8%
Handicap -1Shenyang Urban win26.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss53.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
1-29.3%
2-17.1%

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban stats

Qingdao Jonoon and Shenyang Urban recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Qingdao Jonoon and Shenyang Urban going into this match

league record before kick-off

Qingdao Jonoon record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shenyang Urban record

  • They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Qingdao Jonoon wins 1Draws 1Shenyang Urban wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-20Shenyang UrbanQingdao JonoonChina Super League2-1
2025-05-21Shenyang UrbanQingdao JonoonFA Cup0-0
2022-12-03Qingdao JonoonShenyang UrbanLeague One2-0
2022-11-09Shenyang UrbanQingdao JonoonLeague One0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Qingdao Jonoon vs Shenyang Urban odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.7%, draw 18.8%, away 68.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 9.20 6.19 1.29
Bet365 6.00 4.75 1.40
BetVictor 8.50 5.25 1.29
Betano 5.00 4.30 1.55
Betfair 5.50 4.50 1.50
Dafabet 5.60 4.60 1.55
Marathonbet 8.60 5.65 1.26
Pinnacle 8.53 5.91 1.32
SBO 5.03 4.03 1.36
William Hill 8.50 5.00 1.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 8.52 ▲ +5.28
X 5.45 ▲ +1.76
2 1.29 ▼ -0.73

11 snapshots recorded, from .