Chongqing Tongliang Long
vs
Qingdao Jonoon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Chongqing Tongliang Long
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon
| Probability | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.5% | 24.5% | 14.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.5% | 24.5% | 14.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Chongqing Tongliang Long
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.75.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon match preview
Chongqing Tongliang Long faces Qingdao Jonoon in the China Super League, with Chongqing holding a 56% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring at a rate of 13%. Chongqing's expected goals stand at 1.65, while Qingdao's is significantly lower at 0.83.
Recent form shows Chongqing Tongliang Long has struggled with a series of draws and losses, recording D-L-D-L-D-L in their last six matches. In contrast, Qingdao Jonoon has not fared any better, suffering six consecutive losses (L-L-L-L-L-L). The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 47%, and there is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Jonoon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Jonoon attack and defence ratings
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Qingdao Jonoon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tianjin Teda vs SHANGHAI SIPG
- Henan Jianye v Beijing Guoan — match page
- Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing — team news & stats
- Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown
- Sichuan Jiuniu v Shanghai Shenhua — match page
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — team news & stats
- Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun
Before and after this match
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 61.5% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Qingdao Jonoon | 14.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chongqing Tongliang Long win | 36.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 12.9% |
| 2-0 | 12.6% | |
| 1-1 | 11.6% |
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon stats
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Jonoon recent form
| Chongqing Tongliang Long |
DDLDLD |
| Qingdao Jonoon |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Jonoon season so far
Chongqing Tongliang Long record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Qingdao Jonoon record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Qingdao Jonoon | Chongqing Tongliang Long | China Super League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.