Qingdao Jonoon
vs
Sichuan Jiuniu
2 – 2 Full time
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu
| Probability | Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Sichuan Jiuniu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.7% | 23.8% | 56.5% |
| Market | 19.6% | 21.5% | 58.8% |
| Final | 19.6% | 22.1% | 58.3% |
| Edge | +0.0% | +0.6% | -0.6% |
Why Sichuan Jiuniu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.09.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Qingdao Jonoon and Sichuan Jiuniu expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Qingdao Jonoon and Sichuan Jiuniu attack and defence ratings
Qingdao Jonoon
Sichuan Jiuniu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu: result vs prediction
Qingdao Jonoon 2 – 2 Sichuan Jiuniu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang Long — team news & stats
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth Island
- SHANGHAI SIPG v Shenyang Urban — match page
- Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better City — team news & stats
- Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye
- Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin Teda — team news & stats
- Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns
Before and after this match
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 58.3% | 1.72 | -0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Qingdao Jonoon | 19.6% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 58.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.9% |
| No | 42.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sichuan Jiuniu win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 43.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.1% |
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu stats
Qingdao Jonoon and Sichuan Jiuniu recent form
| Qingdao Jonoon |
LLLLLL |
| Sichuan Jiuniu |
WLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Qingdao Jonoon and Sichuan Jiuniu going into this match
Qingdao Jonoon record
- They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Sichuan Jiuniu record
- They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Qingdao Jonoon | China Super League | 3-2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Qingdao Jonoon | China Super League | 4-0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Qingdao Jonoon | Sichuan Jiuniu | China Super League | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Qingdao Jonoon | Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-26 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Qingdao Jonoon | Super League | 1-3 |
| 2022-09-19 | Sichuan Jiuniu | Qingdao Jonoon | League One | 0-2 |
| 2022-09-04 | Qingdao Jonoon | Sichuan Jiuniu | League One | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan Jiuniu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.6%, draw 21.5%, away 58.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.03 | 4.50 | 1.60 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.33 | 1.60 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 4.40 | 4.10 | 1.65 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 4.33 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.50 | 1.63 |
| Marathonbet | 4.85 | 4.33 | 1.54 |
| Pinnacle | 4.60 | 4.50 | 1.62 |
| SBO | 4.05 | 3.73 | 1.51 |
| William Hill | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .